Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 16

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

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	Borussia Mönchengladbach		Augsburg

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.8
	1.9	3.7	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.67	3.66
	1.89	3.72	4.01	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.8	Watch
	1.94	3.81	4.22	Watch
	1.9	3.6	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	3.91 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
49.7%

Draw
26%

Augsburg
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

25.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	6.5%	58.7%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 16 - 34.8%). Augsburg will win (votes: 27 - 58.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 44.5% – 72.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Augsburg (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Borussia M (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Augsburg (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - draw (4.08) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

DC - Augsburg (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Augsburg (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 16. Sander P. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 29. Scally J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 20. Netz L. 9. Honorat F. 10. Neuhaus F. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Dahmen F. (G) 40. Banks N. 31. Schlotterbeck K. (C) 16. Zesiger C. 30. Kade A. 19. Fellhauer R. 4. Massengo H. 3. Pedersen M. 32. Rieder F. 20. Claude-Maurice A. 36. Komur M.
Substitutes
17. Castrop J. 18. Machino S. 36. Mohya W. 1. Omlin J. (G) 28. Ranos G. 13. Reyna G. 7. Stoger K. 14. Takai K. 26. Ullrich L.	9. Essende S. 11. Gharbi I. 38. Gregoritsch M. 17. Jakic K. 22. Labrovic N. (G) 10. Maier A. 26. Saad E. 27. Wolf M.
Coaches
Polanski E.	Baum M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Scally J. ⚽, Netz L. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Diks K. (Penalty Awarded),
36', 3 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Netz L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rieder F. ↓, Essende S. ↑,
54', Massengo H. 🟨,
61', 4 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Honorat F. (A),
62', Honorat F. ↓, Mohya W. ↑,
62', Kade A. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
62', Pedersen M. ↓, Wolf M. ↑,
68', Komur M. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
72', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
72', Neuhaus F. ↓, Castrop J. ↑,
72', Sander P. ↓, Takai K. ↑,
85', Claude-Maurice A. ↓, Gregoritsch M. ↑,
85', Scally J. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 1.

Borussia M is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Augsburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Augsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Borussia M is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Borussia M: Hack R. (Knee Injury) Kleindienst T. (Knee Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pereira Cardoso T. (Illness)

There will not play in Augsburg: Giannoulis D. (Yellow Cards) Gouweleeuw J. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Augsburg: Jakic K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:30. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Augsburg: 0.26% B. Monchengladbach: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11:6	5	7
18	B. Monchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6:16	-10	0

Last Results with these Odds

Augsburg - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 26.12%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
Club Friendly
05.01.26	Hannover - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Mainz - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
02.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLWL
- FC Augsburg
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Augsburg	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Augsburg - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Augsburg - Hamburger SV	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
22.02.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	0:3
04.10.24	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:1
21.01.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	1:2
19.08.23	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	4:4
27.05.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	2:0
25.01.23	Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	1:0
12.02.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Augsburg	3:2

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