Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BayArena (Leverkusen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Reichel T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Startimes Sports Arena, ZAP
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 3
Angola	15:30	Z Sports 1
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Brazil	11:30	Caze TV, SporTV
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 5
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	15:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	MBC Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Bayer Leverkusen		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.61	4.33	4.8
	1.58	4.45	4.95	Watch
	1.58	4.55	5.6
	1.58	4.63	5.48	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.6	4.41	5.6	Watch
	1.57	4.33	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.55)	4.4 ↓ (4.65)	5.3 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen
60.4%

Draw
21.6%

Werder Bremen
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.2%

20.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

19.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	8.6%	5.7%

Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.25 - Bayer (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Werder (4.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (30 of 35 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.12% – 97.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayer Leverkusen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bayer (votes: 15 - 75%). Werder (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Blaswich J. (G) 4. Quansah J. 8. Andrich R. (C) 5. Bade L. 21. Lucas 30. Maza I. 24. Garcia A. 20. Grimaldo A. 7. Hofmann J. 19. Poku E. 14. Schick P.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 5. Pieper A. 32. Friedl M. (C) 31. Coulibaly K. 3. Sugawara Y. 14. Lynen S. 23. Schmidt I. 20. Schmid R. 6. Stage J. 11. Njinmah J. 17. Grull M.
Substitutes
13. Arthur 44. Belocian J. 6. Fernandez E. 35. Kofane C. 36. Lomb N. (G) 25. Palacios E. 16. Tape A. 11. Terrier M. 10. Tillman M.	24. Covic P. 2. Deman O. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 13. Hein K. (G) 22. Malatini J. 19. Milosevic J. 18. Puertas C. 33. Schmetgens M. 9. Topp K.
Coaches
Hjulmand K.	Steffen H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Pieper A. ↓, Malatini J. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Lucas ⚽, Maza I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Schmidt I. ↓, Deman O. ↑,
57', Poku E. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
57', Lucas ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
60', Grull M. ↓, Milosevic J. ↑,
72', Maza I. ↓, Arthur ↑,
72', Garcia A. ↓, Palacios E. ↑,
78', Hofmann J. 🟨,
78', Friedl M. 🟨,
79', Sugawara Y. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
87', Bade L. 🟨,
88', Malatini J. 🟨,
90+6', Deman O. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 2.

Bayer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Werder is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Werder may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bayer is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Bayer: Ben Seghir E. (Ankle Injury) Flekken M. (Injury) Tapsoba E. (Rest) Tella N. (Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Ankle Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Stark N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Bittencourt L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bayer won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:31. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bayer won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.6:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	1	2	16:12	4	13
6	Werder Bremen	7	3	3	1	15:14	1	12

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Bayer Leverkusen: 3.34% Werder Bremen: 0.45%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bayer Leverkusen
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Olympiacos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
20.12.25	RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
13.12.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Köln	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLLWW
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
16.01.26	Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:3 ✺
13.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
20.12.25	Augsburg - Werder Bremen	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
30.08.25	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	3:3
08.03.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	0:2
26.10.24	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:2
14.04.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	5:0
25.11.23	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	0:3
12.03.23	Werder Bremen - Bayer Leverkusen	2:3
17.09.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Werder Bremen	1:1

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