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Current Win Probability
Birmingham City 35.2%
Draw 27%
Southampton 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
26.3%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.6%
25.7%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Birmingham City's form might have worsened.
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southampton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.1%
9.1%
81.8%
Birmingham City - Southampton Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). S`hampton will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 59% – 100%.
1. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 24. Iwata T. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 16. Roberts P. 28. Stansfield J. 7. Vicente C. 9. Priske A.
1. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 15. Wood N. 13. Schlotterbeck K. 3. Manning R. 26. Bragg C. 4. Downes F. (C) 18. Fellows T. 10. Azaz F. 7. Scienza L. 9. Larin C.
Substitutes
21. Allsop R. (G) 33. Ducksch M. 23. Fry D. 27. Fujimoto K. 10. Gray D. 2. Laird E. 25. Lund K. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 32. Vazquez L.
29. Akachukwu R. 11. Dobbin L. 40. Ehibhatiomhan P. 25. Long G. (G) 27. Matsuki K. 28. Mubama D. 5. Stephens J. 30. Ward-Prowse J. 34. Welington
Coaches
Davies C.
Eckert T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Schlotterbeck K. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Priske A. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
61', Fellows T. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
61', Bragg C. ↓, Ward-Prowse J. ↑,
69', Larin C. ↓, Mubama D. ↑,
70', Roberts P. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
72', Mubama D. 🟨,
77', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
81', Scienza L. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
86', Priske A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
86', Vicente C. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
87', Stansfield J. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
90+2', Wood N. 🟨,
90+2', Vazquez L. 🟨,
Preview
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Birmingham: Gardner-Hickman T.
(Injury)
Leonard M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in S`hampton: Jander C.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
There are questionable in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Harwood-Bellis T.
(Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
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Beadle J. (G) 
Osayi-Samuel B. 
Neumann P. 
Klarer C. (C) 
Iwata T. 
Solis Romero J. E. 
Vicente C. 
Priske A. 
Peretz D. (G) 
Manning R. 
Bragg C. 
Scienza L. 
Larin C. 
Gray D. 
Lund K. 
Paik Seung-Ho 
Vazquez L. 
Davies C. 
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