Match Info

A-League Women - Round 22

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Ironbark Fields (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Play, Paramount+
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App


	Western United		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.6	3.2
	1.91	3.8	3.2
	1.95	4.01	3.29	Watch
	1.98	3.83	3.31	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.25)	3.81 ↑ (3.57)	3.24 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western United
47.6%

Draw
24.1%

Adelaide United
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

26.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Western United's performance.

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western United than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Western United - Adelaide United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Lincoln C. (G) 8. Grove S. 4. Mihocic C. 18. Maher G. 5. Medwin A. 20. Hieda K. 9. Eggesvik S. 28. Dehakiz I. 15. Taranto A. 6. Berryhill C. (C) 34. Zimmerman C.	21. Jenkins C. (G) 17. Tolland Z. 13. Tonkin E. (C) 4. McNamara M. 14. Leon L. 16. Holmes D. 12. Sasaki N. 2. Hodgson E. 8. Condon E. 5. Morgan S. 23. Worts F.
Substitutes
1. Dall'Oste A. (G) 7. De Domizio K. 11. Ibarguen S. 24. Sardo J. 16. Taranto M.	7. Clarke A. 11. Hodgson I. 6. Karambasis T. 30. Melegh I. (G) 3. Mullan M.
Coaches
Smith K.	Stenta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Leon L. ⚽, Condon E. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Morgan S. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Hieda K. ⚽, Zimmerman C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Zimmerman C. 🟨,
56', 1 - 3, Leon L. ⚽, Worts F. (A),
60', Hieda K. ↓, De Domizio K. ↑,
60', Eggesvik S. ↓, Taranto M. ↑,
62', Worts F. ↓, Hodgson I. ↑,
62', Sasaki N. ↓, Clarke A. ↑,
67', Holmes D. 🟨,
71', Condon E. ↓, Mullan M. ↑,
79', Taranto A. ↓, Ibarguen S. ↑,
80', Leon L. ↓, Karambasis T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Western United is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Adelaide United is Qualified for A~League Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Western United will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Western United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Western United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western United Women
Australian A-League Women
30.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Western United	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Western United - Canberra United	4:3 ✺
07.03.25	Perth Glory - Western United	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Western United - Melbourne Victory	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Brisbane Roar - Western United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLLT
- Adelaide United Women
Australian A-League Women
29.03.25	Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Melbourne City - Adelaide United	4:3 ✺
08.03.25	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
25.01.25	Adelaide United - Western United	1:1
21.01.24	Western United - Adelaide United	1:0
09.12.23	Adelaide United - Western United	1:3
04.12.22	Adelaide United - Western United	1:2

Western United - Adelaide United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide