The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Weston-super-Mare 37%
Draw 28%
Aldershot Town 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
26.9%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
25.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Weston-super-Mare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Weston-super-Mare, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
1. Harris M. (G) 2. Smith M. 15. Lewis E. (C) 6. Avery S. 21. Martin D. 4. Jagger C. J. 8. Dodd J. 11. Pearson S. 19. Cummins C. 7. Coulson L. 9. Britton L.
1. Dewhurst M. (G) 36. Armitage W. 5. Jackson B. 33. Inwood S. 14. Gilligan C. 7. Hargreaves C. 24. Mullins M. 18. Rai K. 19. Hill R. (C) 11. Jones R. 9. Thomas K.
Substitutes
23. Birch G. 12. Dawes W. 13. Glover J. 18. Hicks J. 3. Johnson O. 16. King F. 14. Pope J. 10. Waite J. 5. Wood C.
30. Abrahams T. 12. Anderson K. 8. Frost T. 16. Nash P. (G) 25. Nightingale W. 15. Penman C. 42. Penney M. 28. Taylor A. 34. Tetek D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Rai K. ⚽, Hill R. (A),
30', Jagger C. J. ↓, Waite J. ↑,
33', Inwood S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Mullins M. ↓, Taylor A. ↑,
58', Pearson S. ↓, Dawes W. ↑,
72', Rai K. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,
75', Cummins C. ↓, Wood C. ↑,
76', Avery S. ↓, Pope J. ↑,
79', Jackson B. 🟨,
81', Dewhurst M. 🟨,
83', Gilligan C. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Lewis E. ⚽,
90+4', Inwood S. ↓, Penman C. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
104', Dawes W. 🟨,
108', Hargreaves C. 🟨,
110', 2 - 1, Waite J. ⚽, Dawes W. (A),
114', Gilligan C. ↓, Frost T. ↑,
114', Hill R. ↓, Tetek D. ↑,
115', Waite J. ↓, Hicks J. ↑,
Preview
Weston-super-Mare is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Aldershot is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Weston-super-Mare could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Weston-super-Mare won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
Including home match between the teams, Weston-super-Mare won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5.
Last Results with these Odds
Weston-super-Mare - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.