Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Canada	Sportsnet Now Plus
Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Pop-up 1
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Bristol Rovers		Weston-super-Mare

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.75	5.75
	1.49	4.6	6
	1.45	4.75	6	Watch
	1.45	5.08	5.4
	1.45	4.81	5.93	Watch
	1.44	4.6	7
	1.45	4.7	6.6	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.33)	4.76 ↓ (5.31)	6.09 ↓ (8.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
64.7%

Draw
19.8%

Weston-super-Mare
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

17.7%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

17.9%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bristol Rovers's form might have worsened.

Weston-super-Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Weston-super-Mare than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Bristol Rovers - Weston super Mare Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Weston-super-Mare will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Griffiths J. (G) 32. Hunt J. 17. Taylor C. 4. Moore T. 6. Mola C. 29. Lindsay J. 22. Conteh K. 19. Hutchinson I. 10. Sotiriou R. 7. Sinclair S. 18. Martin C.	1. Harris M. (G) 2. Thomas K. 6. Avery S. 15. Lewis E. 14. Kirkman B. 11. Coulson L. 4. Kadji D. 5. Pope J. 8. Dodd J. 3. Bastin J. 9. Reid R.
Substitutes
21. Anthony M. 27. Bilongo B. 25. Forbes M. 35. Hall M. (G) 45. Leipus B. 23. McCormick L. 3. Sousa L. 11. Thomas L. 8. Ward G.	13. Absalom K. (G) 19. Bak E. B. 17. Chamberlain O. 7. Jagger C. J. 21. McCootie N. 10. Rose M. 16. Soule J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Lewis E. ↓, Chamberlain O. ↑,
42', 1 - 0, Lindsay J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Pope J. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Bastin J. ⚽, Coulson L. (A),
65', Hunt J. ↓, Forbes M. ↑,
65', Bastin J. ↓, McCootie N. ↑,
73', Coulson L. 🟨,
73', Sotiriou R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
78', Lindsay J. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
79', Martin C. ↓, McCormick L. ↑,
79', Sinclair S. ↓, Bilongo B. ↑,
90+3', Chamberlain O. 🟨,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
94', Kadji D. 🟨,
95', 2 - 1, Taylor C. ⚽, McCormick L. (A),
105', McCootie N. 🟨,
106', Kirkman B. ↓, Rose M. ↑,
113', Chamberlain O. ↓, Bak E. B. ↑,
120', Avery S. 🟨,
120', Ward G. 🟨,
120+2', 3 - 1, Ward G. ⚽, Thomas L. (A),

Preview

Bristol Rovers is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Weston-super-Mare in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bristol Rovers is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English EFL Trophy
29.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Reading - Bristol Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Weston-super-Mare
English National League South
26.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Aveley	4:1 ✺
22.10.24	Salisbury - Weston-super-Mare	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Boreham Wood	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Welling United - Weston-super-Mare	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.24	Weston-super-Mare - Chippenham Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
11.07.17	Weston-super-Mare - Bristol Rovers	0:3
13.07.16	Weston-super-Mare - Bristol Rovers	1:3

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