Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 37

Date: 14 March 2023, Tuesday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Woolmer A. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Coventry City

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.3	2.15
	3.6	3.2	2.15
	3.55	3.15	2.23
	3.45	3.15	2.16
	3.66	3.35	2.19
	3.5	3.1	2.15
	3.56	3.3	2.13	Watch
	3.5	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.21)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)	2.17 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
26.8%

Draw
29.4%

Coventry City
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.4%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.4%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Wigan Athletic - Coventry City Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Coventry will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coventry: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).

Wigan has the most likely position - 23 (29.22%), project points - 43, currently - 32, a good chance of relegated (82%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Coventry has the most likely position - 9 (13.76%), project points - 68, currently - 53, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), a very small chance of promoted (5%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, importance 34, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Wigan is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Coventry is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coventry will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M. (Knee Injury) Kerr J. (Knee Injury) Rekik O. (Red Card)

There will not play in Coventry: Allen J. (Calf Injury) Kelly L. (Injury) O'Hare C. (Knee Injury) Palmer K. (Muscle Injury) Sheaf B. (Injury) Tavares F. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Whatmough J. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
11.03.23	Burnley - Wigan Athletic	3:0 ✺
07.03.23	West Bromwich Albion - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Wigan Athletic - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Preston North End - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Wigan Athletic - Norwich City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLT
- Coventry City
English League Championship
11.03.23	Coventry City - Hull City	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Huddersfield Town - Coventry City	0:4 ✺
28.02.23	Preston North End - Coventry City	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Coventry City - Sunderland	2:1 ✺
18.02.23	Rotherham United - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
08.11.22	Coventry City - Wigan Athletic	2:0
English League One
09.04.16	Wigan Athletic - Coventry City	1:0
08.08.15	Coventry City - Wigan Athletic	2:0

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