Match Info

ENGLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday

Location: DW Stadium (Wigan)

Referee: Eltringham G. (Eng)


	Wigan Athletic		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	2
	3.75	3.4	2
	3.8	3.4	2
	3.9	3.49	2.06
	3.7	3.3	2
	3.78	3.44	2.01	Watch
	3.8	3.45	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↑ (3.51)	3.43 ↓ (3.47)	2.01 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigan Athletic
25.1%

Draw
27.7%

Norwich City
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

26.3%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	16%	72%

Wigan Athletic - Norwich City Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Wigan will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Norwich will win (votes: 18 - 72%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 9).

Wigan has the most likely position - 23 (21.2%), has project points - 46, has currently - 30, has a good chance of relegated (60%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Norwich has the most likely position - 7 (11.15%), has project points - 69, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 41, importance 40, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wigan won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wigan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Norwich will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Wigan: Kerr J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Byram S. (Injury) Hayden I. (Injury) Marquinhos (Injury) Placheta P. (Injury) Rowe J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Wigan: Rekik O. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wigan won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Wigan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigan Athletic
English League Championship
15.02.23	Bristol City - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
11.02.23	Wigan Athletic - Huddersfield Town	1:0 ✺
06.02.23	Blackburn Rovers - Wigan Athletic	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Wigan Athletic - Luton Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.23	Wigan Athletic - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWTLL
- Norwich City
English League Championship
14.02.23	Norwich City - Hull City	3:1 ✺
11.02.23	Bristol City - Norwich City	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Norwich City - Burnley	0:3 ✺
21.01.23	Coventry City - Norwich City	2:4 ✺
14.01.23	Preston North End - Norwich City	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
06.08.22	Norwich City - Wigan Athletic	1:1
14.04.19	Wigan Athletic - Norwich City	1:1
29.09.18	Norwich City - Wigan Athletic	1:0
07.02.17	Wigan Athletic - Norwich City	2:2
13.09.16	Norwich City - Wigan Athletic	2:1
04.03.15	Norwich City - Wigan Athletic	0:1
06.12.14	Wigan Athletic - Norwich City	0:1

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