The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Burnley 69.9%
Draw 20.2%
Wigan Athletic 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.6%
21.1%
11.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.9%
20.4%
11%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Burnley aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80.8%
0%
19.2%
Burnley - Wigan Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
Burnley will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%). Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
Burnley has the most likely position - 1 (94.94%), has project points - 98, has currently - 77, has not chance of relegated, has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a good chance of win league (95%).
Wigan has the most likely position - 23 (28.46%), has project points - 44, has currently - 32, has a good chance of relegated (78%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
This event has quality43, importance42, match rating43. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Burnley is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Wigan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Burnley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Burnley is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Burnley: Brownhill J.
(Injury)
Harwood-Bellis T.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Wigan: Kelly M.
(Knee Injury)
Kerr J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Burnley: Benson M.
(Ankle Injury)
Maatsen I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Wigan: Whatmough J.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Burnley to win the game is with odds 1.34.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Burnley won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Burnley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.