Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 18

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.65	3.15
	1.95	3.82	3.15	Watch
	1.94	3.58	3.26	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)	3.7 ↑ (3.6)	3.18 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
47%

Draw
24.5%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

24.8%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

23.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-3%)

Wigry Suwałki - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Pajnowski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Wigry is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wigry won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Wigry won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Wigry Suwałki	2:3 ✺
08.11.25	Wigry Suwałki - Warta Sieradz	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Wigry Suwałki - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
18.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Wigry Suwałki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
15.11.25	Wasilków - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - GKS Bełchatów	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Troszyn - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	3:2 ✺
18.10.25	ŁKS Łomża - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
02.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	3:1
11.05.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	1:0
13.10.24	Wigry Suwałki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1

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