Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group I - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach (Suwałki)


	Wigry Suwałki		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.5	1.75
	3.58	3.87	1.82
	3.83	3.62	1.78
	3.25	4.5	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.48 ↑ (2.32)	4.12 ↑ (3.64)	1.78 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wigry Suwałki
26.3%

Draw
22.2%

Unia Skierniewice
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

24.5%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.5%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wigry Suwałki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wigry Suwałki's form might have worsened.

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Skierniewice's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigry Suwałki than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wigry Suwałki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Skierniewice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wigry Suwałki - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wigry Suwałki
Polish Division 3 - Group I
19.10.24	ŁKS Łomża - Wigry Suwałki	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Wigry Suwałki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Victoria Sulejówek - Wigry Suwałki	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Wisła Płock II	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Wigry Suwałki - Swit Skolwin	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLWW
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
18.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Mławianka Mława	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Wikielec - Unia Skierniewice	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Broń Radom	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
02.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - Motor Lublin	2:1 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group I
28.09.24	Warta Sieradz - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 TWWWL

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