Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Koning Willem II Stadion (Tilburg)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
Netherlands	ESPN 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Willem II		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.50	2.25	Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.30
	2.95	3.40	2.28
	3.06	3.80	2.28
	3.01	3.68	2.23	Watch
	3.00	3.70	2.20
	3.03	3.68	2.27	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.81)	3.61 ↓ (3.67)	2.26 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Willem II
31.7%

Draw
26.3%

Excelsior
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

25.8%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25.6%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Willem II - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Excelsior will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Delanghe M. (G) 5. ter Avest H. (C) 3. Stam F. 83. Lemmens M. 24. Tjoe a On N. 8. Boogaard K. 6. Twigt C. 50. Gurbuz E. 19. van Aalst U. 7. Slory J. 9. Haen D.	1. van Gassel S. (G) 2. da Silva Moreira E. 3. Meissen R. 4. Widell C. (C) 14. Plug J. 15. Janssen S. 7. Sliti A. 8. Yegoian I. 20. Hartjes L. 30. Thorsteinsson A. 19. Garden D.
Substitutes
2. Ciranni A. 23. Dekker M. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 15. Et Taibi A. 14. Mathijsen J. 17. Obi C. 21. van der Steen W. (G) 22. van Loon P. 28. Verheydt T. 52. Vilhena T.	12. Bos K. 24. Cairo G. 9. Dominguez M. 23. Finey Y. 28. Groen N. 40. Holla T. (G) 21. Silva Timas I. 18. Sulzbacher V. 22. Turay O. 6. van Vianen D.
Coaches
Stegeman J.	den Uil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Garden D. ⚽, Yegoian I. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Meissen R. ⚽, Janssen S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gurbuz E. ↓, Vilhena T. ↑,
46', Lemmens M. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
51', Boogaard K. 🟨,
63', Boogaard K. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
64', Sliti A. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
65', da Silva Moreira E. ↓, van Vianen D. ↑,
71', Thorsteinsson A. ↓, Groen N. ↑,
81', Slory J. 🟨,
82', Slory J. ↓, Obi C. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Yegoian I. ⚽, van Gassel S. (A),
87', Groen N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 2.

Recent performances by Willem II have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Excelsior is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Willem II has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Willem II: Abildgaard L. (Inactive) Culum A. (Foot Injury) Didillon Hodl T. (Hamstring Injury) Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Schuurman J. (Knock) Vilhena T. (Inactive) Zarrouk A. (Surgery)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Naujoks N. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15:9	6	11
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6:20	-14	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Willem II
Dutch Eredivisie
30.08.26	Willem II - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Willem II - NEC Nijmegen	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Willem II	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Willem II - OFI	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Willem II - KV Mechelen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLLWW
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
29.08.26	Excelsior - Sparta Rotterdam	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Excelsior - PSV Eindhoven	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Cambuur - Excelsior	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	De Graafschap - Excelsior	1:5 ✺
24.07.26	Heracles Almelo - Excelsior	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.12.22	Willem II - Excelsior	3:1
17.07.21	Willem II - Excelsior	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
21.04.19	Excelsior - Willem II	1:1
15.09.18	Willem II - Excelsior	2:2
06.04.18	Excelsior - Willem II	2:1
13.08.17	Willem II - Excelsior	1:2
25.02.17	Excelsior - Willem II	0:2

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