Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolfsburg		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.7	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.85
	2.42	3.55	2.82	Watch
	2.49	3.7	2.87
	2.39	3.69	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.75
	2.48	3.74	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.58)	3.6 ↓ (3.72)	2.83 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
39.6%

Draw
26.6%

Werder Bremen
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

25.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

26%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	30.4%	43.5%

Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Werder will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 30.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 2 - 50%). Werder (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 6. Belocian J. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 26. Kumbedi S. 24. Eriksen C. (C) 5. Vini Souza 21. Maehle J. 19. Lindstrom J. 9. Amoura M. 23. Wind J.	30. Backhaus M. (G) 3. Sugawara Y. 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. (C) 2. Deman O. 10. Bittencourt L. 18. Puertas C. 17. Grull M. 20. Schmid R. 7. Mbangula S. 11. Njinmah J.
Substitutes
27. Arnold M. 11. Daghim A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 10. Majer L. 29. Muller M. (G) 17. Pejcinovic D. 7. Shiogai K. 3. Vavro D. 39. Wimmer P.	27. Agu F. 31. Coulibaly K. 24. Covic P. 25. Kolke M. (G) 29. Musah S. 33. Schmetgens M. 23. Schmidt I. 9. Topp K.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Thioune D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Jenz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Mbangula S. ↓, Agu F. ↑,
61', Stark N. ↓, Coulibaly K. ↑,
64', Lindstrom J. ↓, Wimmer P. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Njinmah J. ⚽,
73', Wind J. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
73', Amoura M. ↓, Majer L. ↑,
79', Maehle J. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
79', Vini Souza ↓, Arnold M. ↑,
85', Njinmah J. ↓, Musah S. ↑,
90+2', Jenz M. 🟨,
90+5', Majer L. 🟨,
90+6', Bittencourt L. ↓, Schmetgens M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Wolfsburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Werder has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Lynen S. (Muscle Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Milosevic J. (Back Injury) Pieper A. (Knee Injury) Stage J. (Yellow Cards) Weiser M. (Knee Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Stark N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 40:37. (average 2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 2.4:2).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Werder Bremen: 0.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
14.03.26	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stuttgart - Wolfsburg	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Wolfsburg - Augsburg	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	RB Leipzig - Wolfsburg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLLT
- Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga
15.03.26	Werder Bremen - Mainz	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	St. Pauli - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Werder Bremen - Bayern Munich	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
07.11.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1
01.03.25	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	1:2
20.10.24	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	2:4
30.03.24	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	0:2
05.11.23	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	2:2
28.01.23	Werder Bremen - Wolfsburg	2:1
06.08.22	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	2:2

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