Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Berlin		Wolfsburg

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.7	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3.65	3.35
	2.18	3.68	3.16	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.18	3.8	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 (2.16)	3.68 ↑ (3.67)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
44.2%

Draw
26%

Wolfsburg
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

25.9%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.2%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	45.5%	13.6%

Union Berlin - Wolfsburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Union Berlin will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Wolfsburg will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - draw (1.31) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 28. Trimmel C. (C) 8. Khedira R. 6. Kemlein A. 15. Rothe T. 10. Ansah I. 7. Burke O. 23. Ilic A.	1. Grabara K. (G) 6. Belocian J. 3. Vavro D. 4. Koulierakis K. 21. Maehle J. 24. Eriksen C. (C) 5. Vini Souza 25. Zehnter A. 39. Wimmer P. 9. Amoura M. 17. Pejcinovic D.
Substitutes
9. Burcu L. 19. Haberer J. 18. Juranovic J. 25. Klaus C. (G) 39. Kohn D. 33. Kral A. 34. Nsoki S. 13. Schafer A. 21. Skarke T.	18. Adjetey J. 27. Arnold M. 11. Daghim A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 15. Jenz M. 26. Kumbedi S. 10. Majer L. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Shiogai K.
Coaches
Eta M.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Wimmer P. ⚽, Maehle J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Pejcinovic D. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
58', Belocian J. 🟨,
68', Rothe T. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
68', Ansah I. ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
71', Amoura M. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
71', Wimmer P. ↓, Gerhardt Y. ↑,
75', Kemlein A. ↓, Schafer A. ↑,
78', Khedira R. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Burke O. ⚽, Ilic A. (A),
86', Eriksen C. ↓, Arnold M. ↑,
87', Khedira R. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
88', Trimmel C. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
90+3', Zehnter A. ↓, Jenz M. ↑,
90+3', Pejcinovic D. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 2.

Union Berlin has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wolfsburg has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Union Berlin could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Jeong Woo-Yeong (Knock) Preu D. (Inactive) Raab M. (Hand Injury)

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Cleiton (Ankle Injury) Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Fischer K. (Thigh Injury) Muller M. (Muscle Injury) Paredes K. (Muscle Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Seelt J. (Knee Injury) Svanberg M. (Calf Injury) Wind J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Union Berlin: Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Union Berlin: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4:17	-13	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
11.04.26	Heidenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
05.04.26	Union Berlin - St. Pauli	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	4:0 ✺
15.03.26	Freiburg - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Union Berlin - Werder Bremen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWL
- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
11.04.26	Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Wolfsburg	6:3 ✺
21.03.26	Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	3:1
06.04.25	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:0
23.11.24	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	1:0
10.02.24	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	1:0
16.09.23	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	2:1
12.03.23	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	1:1
German DFB Pokal
31.01.23	Union Berlin - Wolfsburg	2:1

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