Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport OTT 2
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Cambodia	True Sport 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 4
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Japan	U-NEXT
Laos	True Sport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, SKY NET Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Fox Sports
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 3
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Singapore	Hub Premier 4, StarHub TV+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Thailand	True Sport 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.75
	1.98	3.6	3.7
	2	3.7	3.8	Watch
	2.02	3.7	3.93
	2	3.66	3.89	Watch
	2	3.6	3.6
	2.01	3.79	3.79	Watch
	2	3.7	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.87)	3.68 ↓ (3.9)	3.78 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
48.3%

Draw
26.2%

Ipswich Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

24.6%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.3%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	10%	8.6%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Wolverhampton Wanderers will win (56 of 69 users predict this - 81.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.93% – 90.39%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Johnstone S. (G) 22. Semedo N. (C) 4. Bueno S. 24. Toti 2. Doherty M. 7. Andre 5. Lemina M. 3. Ait-Nouri R. 27. Bellegarde J. 10. Cunha M. 9. Larsen J. S.	1. Muric A. (G) 2. Clarke H. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 12. Cajuste J. 7. Burns W. 10. Chaplin C. 20. Hutchinson O. 19. Delap L.
Substitutes
25. Bentley D. (G) 15. Dawson C. 20. Doyle T. 26. Forbs C. 19. Gomes R. 29. Guedes G. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan 33. Meupiyou B. 37. Pedro Lima	16. Al-Hamadi A. 33. Broadhead N. 47. Clarke J. 18. Johnson B. 8. Phillips K. 14. Taylor J. 22. Townsend C. 28. Walton C. (G) 6. Woolfenden L.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Doherty M. (Own goal),
45+1', Ait-Nouri R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Andre ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
62', Clarke H. 🟨,
64', Doherty M. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Cunha M. ⚽, Guedes G. (A),
73', Bellegarde J. ↓, Hwang Hee-Chan ↑,
75', Cajuste J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
75', Chaplin C. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
85', Burns W. ↓, Johnson B. ↑,
85', Delap L. ↓, Al-Hamadi A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Taylor J. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
90+5', Taylor J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolverhampton won 2.

Recent matches Wolverhampton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ipswich is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wolverhampton will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Ankle Injury) Gomes J. (Yellow Cards) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Kalajdzic S. (Knee Injury) Mosquera Y. (Knee Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Donacien J. (Ankle Injury) Hirst G. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Sa J. (Shoulder Injury) Sarabia P. (Muscle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 0.9:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Wolverhampton won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
09.12.24	West Ham United - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	4:0 ✺
30.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	2:4 ✺
23.11.24	Fulham - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:4 ✺
09.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLLWW
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
08.12.24	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
03.12.24	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ipswich Town - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
26.09.23	Ipswich Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:2
English League Championship
27.01.18	Ipswich Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
23.12.17	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	1:0
07.03.17	Ipswich Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:0
16.08.16	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	0:0
02.04.16	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Ipswich Town	0:0
21.11.15	Ipswich Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2

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