Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 14

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network 3 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Action
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport 360
Germany	Sky Sport 6
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, NOW Premier League 2
Iceland	Siminn Sport 2
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Sooka
Mexico	FOX Sports Premium
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	ESPN South
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 2, Sport 24 International
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, Sport 24 At Sea
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app


	Ipswich Town		Crystal Palace

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.2
	3.2	3.4	2.25
	3.3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.36	3.45	2.29
	3.35	3.38	2.29	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.25
	3.4	3.4	2.28	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.72)	3.39 ↓ (3.44)	2.27 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
29.2%

Draw
28.4%

Crystal Palace
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

27.9%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.4%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ipswich Town's form might have worsened.

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crystal Palace's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	45.7%	48.6%

Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 4 - 5.9%). Crystal Palace will win (votes: 33 - 48.5%). It will Tie (votes: 31 - 45.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 36.6% – 60.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muric A. (G) 2. Clarke H. 26. O'Shea D. 24. Greaves J. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 12. Cajuste J. 7. Burns W. 20. Hutchinson O. 47. Clarke J. 19. Delap L.	1. Henderson D. (G) 27. Chalobah T. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 12. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 28. Doucoure C. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 10. Eze E. 14. Mateta J.
Substitutes
16. Al-Hamadi A. 33. Broadhead N. 10. Chaplin C. 18. Johnson B. 8. Phillips K. 23. Szmodics S. 14. Taylor J. 22. Townsend C. 28. Walton C. (G)	17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 58. Kporha C. 8. Lerma J. 9. Nketiah E. 26. Richards C. 15. Schlupp J. 30. Turner M. (G) 2. Ward J.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Glasner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', O'Shea D. 🟨,
23', Doucoure C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Doucoure C. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
58', Hughes W. 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Mateta J. ⚽, Eze E. (A),
66', Burns W. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
66', Cajuste J. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
66', Clarke J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
76', Eze E. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
78', Greaves J. 🟨,
79', Delap L. ↓, Al-Hamadi A. ↑,
81', Chalobah T. ↓, Richards C. ↑,
90', Sarr I. 🟨,
90', Sarr I. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
90+3', Mateta J. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Ipswich: Donacien J. (Ankle Injury) Hirst G. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Holding R. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kamada D. (Red Card) Matheus Franca (Muscle Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Wharton A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Johnson B. (Knock) Phillips K. (Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Thigh Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
30.11.24	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ipswich Town - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Brentford - Ipswich Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LTWTL
- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
30.11.24	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Crystal Palace - Fulham	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
30.10.24	Aston Villa - Crystal Palace	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
24.07.21	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	0:1
English League Cup
22.08.17	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	2:1
English League Championship
16.04.13	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	3:0
06.11.12	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	5:0
14.04.12	Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town	N/A

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