Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	01:00	Optus Sport
Austria	15:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Cambodia	21:00	True Sport 2
Canada	09:00	fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Cyprus	16:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	15:00	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	15:00	Viaplay
Finland	16:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	15:00	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	15:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	16:00	Nova Sports 4
Hong Kong	22:00	Now E
Hungary	15:00	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	14:00	Siminn Sport 3
India	19:30	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 2
Italy	15:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Japan	23:00	U-NEXT
Laos	21:00	True Sport 2
Malaysia	22:00	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	08:00	HBO Max, MAX
Mongolia	22:00	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	15:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:00	Sky Sport 7
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Viaplay
Portugal	14:00	DAZN 3
Romania	16:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Singapore	22:00	Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
Spain	15:00	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	21:00	True Sport 2
Turkey	17:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	ON Plus
International	14:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Ipswich Town		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.9	1.9
	3.9	3.75	1.9
	3.75	3.9	1.98
	3.91	3.87	1.96
	3.86	3.87	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.91
	3.92	3.98	1.93	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.1)	3.87 ↑ (3.67)	1.94 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
25.2%

Draw
25%

Bournemouth
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.1%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.9%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ipswich Town's form might have worsened.

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	21.7%	63%

Ipswich Town - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 29 - 65.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 51.9% – 79.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muric A. (G) 18. Johnson B. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 14. Taylor J. 20. Hutchinson O. 10. Chaplin C. 23. Szmodics S. 19. Delap L.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 27. Zabarnyi I. 2. Huijsen D. 3. Kerkez M. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 24. Semenyo A. 19. Kluivert J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
16. Al-Hamadi A. 33. Broadhead N. 7. Burns W. 12. Cajuste J. 2. Clarke H. 47. Clarke J. 8. Phillips K. 22. Townsend C. 28. Walton C. (G)	37. Aarons M. 29. Billing P. 7. Brooks D. 40. Dennis W. (G) 23. Hill J. 48. Kinsey-Wellings M. 11. Ouattara Da. 42. Travers M. (G) 26. Unal E.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Delap L. 🟨,
16', Szmodics S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Chaplin C. ⚽, Burgess C. (A),
30', Iraola A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Kluivert J. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
63', Smith A. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
74', Evanilson ↓, Billing P. ↑,
74', Tavernier M. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
80', Szmodics S. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,
81', Delap L. ↓, Al-Hamadi A. ↑,
87', Christie R. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Unal E. ⚽,
90', Brooks D. 🟨,
90+1', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
90+2', Hutchinson O. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Ouattara Da. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ipswich: Donacien J. (Ankle Injury) Hirst G. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Scott A. (Knee Injury) Senesi M. (Thigh Injury) Sinisterra L. (Thigh Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
03.12.24	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ipswich Town - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LLTWT
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
05.12.24	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	2:4 ✺
23.11.24	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Brentford - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
02.11.24	Bournemouth - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.04.15	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	1:1
22.11.14	Bournemouth - Ipswich Town	2:2
21.04.14	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	2:2
29.12.13	Bournemouth - Ipswich Town	1:1

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