Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, Supersport Action, SuperSport GOtv Football
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 5
Brazil	Disney+
Cambodia	True Sport 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	Now E
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Siminn Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 257
Japan	U-NEXT
Laos	True Sport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	HBO Max, MAX
Mongolia	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Singapore	Hub Premier 3, StarHub TV+
Spain	DAZN 2 Bar Espana, DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	True Sport 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Ipswich Town		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.9	1.9
	3.9	3.75	1.9
	3.75	3.9	1.98
	3.91	3.87	1.96
	3.86	3.87	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.75	1.91
	3.92	3.98	1.93	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.1)	3.87 ↑ (3.67)	1.94 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
25.2%

Draw
25%

Bournemouth
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

26.1%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.9%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ipswich Town's form might have worsened.

Bournemouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bournemouth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ipswich Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bournemouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	21.7%	63%

Ipswich Town - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 29 - 65.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 51.9% – 79.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Muric A. (G) 18. Johnson B. 26. O'Shea D. 15. Burgess C. 3. Davis L. 5. Morsy S. (C) 14. Taylor J. 20. Hutchinson O. 10. Chaplin C. 23. Szmodics S. 19. Delap L.	13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 27. Zabarnyi I. 2. Huijsen D. 3. Kerkez M. 10. Christie R. 4. Cook L. 24. Semenyo A. 19. Kluivert J. 16. Tavernier M. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
16. Al-Hamadi A. 33. Broadhead N. 7. Burns W. 12. Cajuste J. 2. Clarke H. 47. Clarke J. 8. Phillips K. 22. Townsend C. 28. Walton C. (G)	37. Aarons M. 29. Billing P. 7. Brooks D. 40. Dennis W. (G) 23. Hill J. 48. Kinsey-Wellings M. 11. Ouattara Da. 42. Travers M. (G) 26. Unal E.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Delap L. 🟨,
16', Szmodics S. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Chaplin C. ⚽, Burgess C. (A),
30', Iraola A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Kluivert J. ↓, Ouattara Da. ↑,
63', Smith A. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
74', Evanilson ↓, Billing P. ↑,
74', Tavernier M. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
80', Szmodics S. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,
81', Delap L. ↓, Al-Hamadi A. ↑,
87', Christie R. ↓, Hill J. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Unal E. ⚽,
90', Brooks D. 🟨,
90+1', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
90+2', Hutchinson O. ↓, Burns W. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Ouattara Da. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 10).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bournemouth will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Ipswich: Donacien J. (Ankle Injury) Hirst G. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Tuanzebe A. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Araujo J. (Thigh Injury) Scott A. (Knee Injury) Senesi M. (Thigh Injury) Sinisterra L. (Thigh Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
03.12.24	Ipswich Town - Crystal Palace	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
24.11.24	Ipswich Town - Manchester United	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Tottenham Hotspur - Ipswich Town	1:2 ✺
02.11.24	Ipswich Town - Leicester City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 LLTWT
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
05.12.24	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	2:4 ✺
23.11.24	Bournemouth - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Brentford - Bournemouth	3:2 ✺
02.11.24	Bournemouth - Manchester City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
03.04.15	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	1:1
22.11.14	Bournemouth - Ipswich Town	2:2
21.04.14	Ipswich Town - Bournemouth	2:2
29.12.13	Bournemouth - Ipswich Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches