Match Info

ENGLAND: Premier League - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport Football Plus ROA, SuperSport Variety 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
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Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	Canal+ Live 5
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
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India	Disney+ Hotstar
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Japan	U-NEXT
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Malaysia	Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 2, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	HBO Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
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Poland	Viaplay
Singapore	Hub Premier 4, StarHub TV+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Thailand	True Sport 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio
Usa	Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Daystar Pacific, Disney+, JioTV app


	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	4
	1.87	3.8	4
	1.9	3.95	4
	1.9	3.85	4.18
	1.91	4.11	3.82	Watch
	1.85	3.8	4
	1.89	4.02	4.06	Watch
	1.9	3.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.91)	3.91 ↑ (3.9)	4.01 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
51.2%

Draw
24.7%

Southampton
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

24.6%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.7%	16.7%	11.7%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 43 - 71.7%). S`hampton will win (votes: 7 - 11.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wolverhampton: 60.3% – 83.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (G) 4. Bueno S. 15. Dawson C. 24. Toti 22. Semedo N. 5. Lemina M. (C) 8. Gomes J. 3. Ait-Nouri R. 21. Sarabia P. 10. Cunha M. 9. Larsen J. S.	30. Ramsdale A. (G) 2. Walker-Peters K. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 35. Bednarek J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 3. Manning R. 9. Armstrong A. 7. Aribo J. 10. Lallana A. 18. Fernandes M. 19. Archer C.
Substitutes
7. Andre 27. Bellegarde J. 2. Doherty M. 20. Doyle T. 26. Forbs C. 19. Gomes R. 29. Guedes G. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 46. Pond A.	27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 14. Bree J. 17. Brereton Diaz B. 33. Dibling T. 1. McCarthy A. (G) 32. Onuachu P. 16. Sugawara Y. 26. Ugochukwu L. 15. Wood N.
Coaches
O'Neil G.	Martin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Sarabia P. ⚽, Cunha M. (A),
22', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sarabia P. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
46', Manning R. ↓, Dibling T. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Cunha M. ⚽, Lemina M. (A),
51', Ramsdale A. 🟨,
61', Lallana A. ↓, Ugochukwu L. ↑,
61', Stephens J. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
73', Larsen J. S. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
73', Archer C. ↓, Onuachu P. ↑,
75', Aribo J. ↓, Brereton Diaz B. ↑,
79', Walker-Peters K. 🟨,
81', Bellegarde J. 🟨,
89', Ugochukwu L. 🟨,
90', Cunha M. ↓, Gomes R. ↑,
90+5', Ait-Nouri R. ↓, Doherty M. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wolverhampton won 5.

Wolverhampton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches S`hampton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wolverhampton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wolverhampton is a favorite.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Ankle Injury) Gonzalez E. (Knee Injury) Kalajdzic S. (Knee Injury) Mosquera Y. (Knee Injury) Traore B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Bazunu G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Smallbone W. (Thigh Injury) Stewart R. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Johnstone S. (Groin Injury) Meupiyou B. (Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Fraser R. (Injury) Lallana A. (Groin Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Wolverhampton won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:12 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Wolverhampton won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
02.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Crystal Palace	2:2 ✺
26.10.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers	5:3 ✺
28.09.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLLL
- Southampton FC
English Premier League
02.11.24	Southampton - Everton	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.24	Southampton - Stoke City	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.24	Manchester City - Southampton	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Southampton - Leicester City	2:3 ✺
05.10.24	Arsenal - Southampton	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
11.02.23	Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2
03.09.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton	1:0
15.01.22	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton	3:1
26.09.21	Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
14.02.21	Southampton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2
English FA Cup
11.02.21	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton	0:2
English Premier League
23.11.20	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Southampton	1:1

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