Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton)

Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolverhampton Wanderers		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.45
	3.1	3.6	2.2
	2.98	3.45	2.4
	3.06	3.47	2.42
	3.04	3.58	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.3
	2.93	3.56	2.45	Watch
	3	3.4	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.15)	3.48 ↓ (3.73)	2.37 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolverhampton Wanderers
32.1%

Draw
27.5%

Bournemouth
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

25.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

25.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolverhampton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolverhampton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	35.3%	41.2%

Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Wolverhampton will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 14 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bournemouth: 24.7% – 57.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 50%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bournemouth will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sa J. (C) 15. Mosquera Y. 12. Agbadou E. 4. Bueno S. 21. Gomes R. 8. Joao Gomes 7. Andre 36. Mane M. 3. Bueno H. 14. Arokodare T. 11. Hwang Hee-Chan	1. Petrovic D. (G) 15. Smith A. (C) 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 4. Cook L. 20. Jimenez A. 22. Kroupi E. J. 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
50. Abbey J. 10. Arias J. 27. Bellegarde J. 2. Doherty M. 31. Johnstone S. (G) 9. Larsen J. S. 17. Pedro Lima 38. Tchatchoua J. 6. Wolfe D. M.	10. Christie R. 51. Dacosta Gonzalez M. 18. Diakite B. 29. Mandas C. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 37. Rayan 50. Rees-Dottin R. 27. Toth A. 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Edwards R.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Kroupi E. J. ⚽, Adli A. (A),
45+1', Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Jimenez A. 🟨,
60', Adli A. 🟨,
61', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
68', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Christie R. ↑,
68', Adli A. ↓, Rayan ↑,
70', Hwang Hee-Chan ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
71', Gomes R. ↓, Bellegarde J. ↑,
76', Joao Gomes 🟨,
79', Andre ↓, Arias J. ↑,
85', Evanilson ↓, Unal E. ↑,
86', Jimenez A. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
88', Hill J. 🟨,
89', Bueno H. ↓, Wolfe D. M. ↑,
89', Bueno S. ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Scott A. ⚽, Rayan (A),
90+4', Smith A. ↓, Diakite B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Wolverhampton: Chiwome L. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury) Dennis W. (Ankle Injury) Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Injury) Tavernier M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Wolverhampton: Bellegarde J. (Hamstring Injury) Toti (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Brooks D. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolverhampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Wolverhampton Wanderers - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.46%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Bournemouth - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolverhampton Wanderers
English Premier League
24.01.26	Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Newcastle United	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	6:1 ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Everton - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWTW
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
24.01.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
19.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	4:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
07.01.26	Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur	3:2 ✺
03.01.26	Bournemouth - Arsenal	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
23.08.25	Bournemouth - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:0
English FA Cup
01.03.25	Bournemouth - Wolverhampton Wanderers	2:1 penalties
English Premier League
22.02.25	Bournemouth - Wolverhampton Wanderers	0:1
30.11.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	2:4
24.04.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:1
21.10.23	Bournemouth - Wolverhampton Wanderers	1:2
18.02.23	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:1

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