Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 March 2025, Monday

Location: City Ground (Nottingham)

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Nottingham Forest		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6
	1.55	4.33	6	Watch
	1.54	4.34	6.28
	1.55	4.3	6.39	Watch
	1.5	4	6
	1.55	4.28	6.37	Watch
	1.55	4.33	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)	4.25 ↑ (3.92)	6.15 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
62%

Draw
22.4%

Ipswich Town
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

24.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

23.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nottingham Forest's performance.

Ipswich Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ipswich Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	5.7%	1.9%

Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Nottingham Forest will win (48 of 52 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.07% – 99.55%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Sels M. (G) 34. Aina O. 5. Murillo 4. Morato 19. Moreno A. 22. Yates R. (C) 6. Sangare I. 14. Hudson-Odoi C. 28. Danilo 21. Elanga A. 9. Awoniyi T.	31. Palmer A. (G) 40. Tuanzebe A. 6. Woolfenden L. 15. Burgess C. 22. Townsend C. 14. Taylor J. 18. Johnson B. 5. Morsy S. (C) 27. Hirst G. 33. Broadhead N. 25. Luongo M.
Substitutes
8. Anderson E. 30. Boly W. 16. Dominguez N. 10. Gibbs-White M. 13. Hennessey W. (G) 20. Jota Silva 24. Sosa R. 7. Williams N. 11. Wood Ch.	12. Cajuste J. 47. Clarke J. 3. Davis L. 19. Delap L. 24. Greaves J. 1. Muric A. (G) 26. O'Shea D. 29. Philogene J. 48. Taylor T.
Coaches
Espirito Santo N.	McKenna K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Luongo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tuanzebe A. ↓, O'Shea D. ↑,
46', Burgess C. ↓, Greaves J. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Hirst G. ⚽, Johnson B. (A),
56', Morato 🟨,
59', Danilo ↓, Anderson E. ↑,
60', Sangare I. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
67', Luongo M. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
67', Broadhead N. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Yates R. ⚽, Elanga A. (A),
79', Anderson E. 🟨,
82', Awoniyi T. ↓, Wood Ch. ↑,
82', Moreno A. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
90+1', Morsy S. 🟨,
90+2', Hirst G. ↓, Delap L. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
96', Yates R. 🟨,
111', Elanga A. ↓, Jota Silva ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Wood Ch. (Pen),
1, Morsy S. (Pen),
2, Gibbs-White M. (Pen),
2, Delap L. (Pen),
3, Anderson E. (Pen),
3, Cajuste J. (Pen),
4, Williams N. (Pen),
4, Johnson B. (Pen),
5, Hudson-Odoi C. (Pen),
5, Taylor J. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 3.

Recent matches Nottingham is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ipswich is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nottingham is a favorite.

There will not play in Nottingham: Carlos Miguel (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Hutchinson O. (Knee Injury) Ogbene C. (Calf Injury) Walton C. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ipswich: Chaplin C. (Knee Injury) Muric A. (Shoulder Injury) Phillips K. (Calf Injury)

Last 15 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:16 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English Premier League
26.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Arsenal	0:0 ✺
23.02.25	Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest	4:3 ✺
15.02.25	Fulham - Nottingham Forest	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.02.25	Exeter City - Nottingham Forest	2:3 penalties ✺
English Premier League
01.02.25	Nottingham Forest - Brighton & Hove Albion	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLLWW
- Ipswich Town
English Premier League
26.02.25	Manchester United - Ipswich Town	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ipswich Town - Tottenham Hotspur	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Aston Villa - Ipswich Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Coventry City - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
English Premier League
01.02.25	Ipswich Town - Southampton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
30.11.24	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	1:0
English League Championship
16.03.19	Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest	1:1
01.12.18	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	2:0
14.04.18	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	2:1
02.12.17	Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest	4:2
07.05.17	Nottingham Forest - Ipswich Town	3:0
19.11.16	Ipswich Town - Nottingham Forest	0:2

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