Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Workington		Marine

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.9	1.66
	3.75	4	1.72
	3.6	4.41	1.76
	3.6	4.41	1.76
	3.89	3.94	1.76
	3.75	4	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.31)	4.11 ↑ (4)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
24.6%

Draw
22.3%

Marine
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

22.7%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

22.3%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Grant B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Robinson O. (Pen),
69', Tinnion C. 🟨,
81', 0 - 3, Wardle J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Workington won 2.

Workington has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marine is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Marine will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Marine to win the game is with odds 1.82.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Workington won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Workington won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
06.04.24	Worksop Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Workington - Atherton Collieries	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Stafford Rangers - Workington	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Workington	4:2 ✺
09.03.24	Workington - Hyde United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
06.04.24	Marine - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
01.04.24	Warrington Rylands - Marine	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Matlock Town - Marine	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Lancaster City - Marine	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Marine - Guiseley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.11.23	Marine - Workington	4:4
23.02.19	Marine - Workington	0:2
25.09.18	Workington - Marine	1:1
03.10.17	Workington - Marine	2:1
15.08.17	Marine - Workington	2:0
07.03.17	Marine - Workington	0:1
08.11.16	Workington - Marine	4:0

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