Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 27

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)


	Milton Keynes Dons		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.25	3.5	2.87
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.2	3.6	2.94
	2.27	3.66	3.14
	2.2	3.5	2.88
	2.25	3.56	2.94
	2.13	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.89)	3.54 ↑ (3.51)	2.98 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
42.1%

Draw
26.5%

Wrexham
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

27.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milton Keynes Dons's performance.

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wrexham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milton Keynes Dons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wrexham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	20%	26.7%

Milton Keynes Dons - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Kelly M. (G) 3. Lewington D. (C) 5. O'Hora W. 21. Harvie D. 2. Norman C. 11. Payne J. 50. Bate L. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Kemp D. 8. Gilbey A. 24. Wearne S.	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 17. Bolton L. 32. Cleworth M. 15. O'Connell E. 25. Boyle W. 19. Mendy J. 8. Young L. (C) 20. Cannon A. 23. McClean J. 18. Dalby S. 11. Marriott J.
Substitutes
30. Dennis M. 12. Harness N. (G) 9. Harrison E. 29. Lofthouse K. 17. Robson E. 22. Tezgel E. 6. Williams M.	29. Barnett R. 7. Davies J. 21. Howard M. (G) 38. Lee E. 10. Mullin P. 9. Palmer O. 4. Tozer B.
Coaches
Williamson M.	Parkinson P.

Preview

Postponed due to FA Cup.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches MK Dons won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
17.02.24	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
13.02.24	Bradford City - Milton Keynes Dons	4:0 ✺
10.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
03.02.24	Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
17.02.24	Wrexham - Notts County	1:0 ✺
13.02.24	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Wrexham - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Salford City - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.01.24	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
05.08.23	Wrexham - Milton Keynes Dons	3:5

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