Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 34

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Brook C. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Notts County

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3.6
	1.98	3.75	3.3
	2	3.75	3.4
	1.99	3.75	3.3
	1.97	3.85	3.72
	1.91	3.9	3.3
	1.92	4.05	3.47	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)	3.83 ↑ (3.83)	3.43 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
48.1%

Draw
24.5%

Notts County
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

19.8%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wrexham that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Wrexham - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 32. Cleworth M. 25. Boyle W. 15. O'Connell E. 23. McClean J. 20. Cannon A. 30. Jones J. 38. Lee E. 26. Fletcher S. 10. Mullin P. (C)	31. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 32. Warner J. 15. Baldwin A. 4. Cameron K. (C) 10. Jones J. 16. Bostock J. 20. Robertson S. 11. Nemane A. 7. Crowley D. 17. McGoldrick D. 9. Langstaff M.
Substitutes
17. Bolton L. 11. Marriott J. 31. McNicholas L. (G) 19. Mendy J. 9. Palmer O. 4. Tozer B. 8. Young L.	8. Austin S. 23. Chicksen A. 44. Colkett Ch. 28. Macari L. 6. O'Brien J. 5. Rawlinson C. 26. Stone A. (G)
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Maynard S.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3.

Wrexham is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Notts County is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Notts County could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.

Wrexham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
13.02.24	Sutton United - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Wrexham - Bradford City	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Salford City - Wrexham	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
29.01.24	Blackburn Rovers - Wrexham	4:1 ✺
English League Two
20.01.24	Newport County - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Notts County
English League Two
13.02.24	Newport County - Notts County	1:3 ✺
09.02.24	Notts County - Gillingham	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Mansfield Town - Notts County	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Notts County - Barrow	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Grimsby Town - Notts County	5:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.10.23	Notts County - Wrexham	0:2
English National League
10.04.23	Wrexham - Notts County	3:2
04.10.22	Notts County - Wrexham	1:0
English FA Trophy
11.03.22	Notts County - Wrexham	1:2
English National League
02.01.22	Notts County - Wrexham	3:1
30.08.21	Wrexham - Notts County	1:1
18.05.21	Wrexham - Notts County	0:1

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