Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 22

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Wrexham		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	1.36	5.5	7
	1.37	5.25	7
	1.36	5	8
	1.36	5.5	8.12
	1.36	5.5	8.13
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.36	5.2	7.5	Watch
	1.36	5.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.39)	5.27 ↑ (4.78)	7.51 ↑ (6.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
69.5%

Draw
17.9%

Colchester United
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.5%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.8%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Wrexham - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Howard M. (G) 15. O'Connell E. 19. Mendy J. 20. Cannon A. 4. Tozer B. (C) 12. Evans G. 22. O'Connor T. 38. Lee E. 10. Mullin P. 18. Dalby S. 23. McClean J.	1. Goodman O. (G) 13. McGeehan C. 10. Chilvers N. (C) 7. Jay M. 2. Greenidge W. 15. Mitchell Z. 42. Fevrier J. 16. Read A. 4. Kelleher F. 25. Taylor J. 18. Egbo M.
Substitutes
27. Bickerstaff J. 25. Boyle W. 7. Davies J. 14. Forde A. 30. Jones J. 31. McNicholas L. (G) 9. Palmer O.	24. Akinde J. 37. Cooper C. 14. Hopper T. 99. Hornby S. (G) 3. Iandolo E. 48. Ihionvein B. 28. Nelson R.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Etherington M.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 22).

Recent matches Wrexham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Colchester is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colchester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Colchester have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Wrexham - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Wrexham - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Wrexham - Morecambe	6:0 ✺
18.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWTWL
- Colchester United
English League Two
09.12.23	Colchester United - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Colchester United - West Ham United U21	0:4 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Doncaster Rovers - Colchester United	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Colchester United - Barrow	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Colchester United - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

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