Match Info

League One - Round 41

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Burton Albion

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	6.25	Watch
	1.55	3.9	6
	1.53	4	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.82	6.41	Watch
	1.57	3.8	6.5
	1.51	3.93	6.54	Watch
	1.53	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.53)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	6.39 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
61.1%

Draw
24.2%

Burton Albion
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.4%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	6.7%	13.3%

Wrexham - Burton Albion Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wrexham (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 16. Rodriguez J. 28. Smith S.	1. Crocombe M. (C) 2. Godwin-Malife U. 17. Armer J. 20. Sraha J. 36. Lofthouse K. 24. McKiernan J. J. 33. Chauke K. 3. Dodgson O. 22. Larsson J. 8. Webster C. 18. Burrell R.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 13. Burton C. (G) 26. Fletcher S. 38. Lee E. 11. Marriott J. 6. O'Connor T. 24. Scarr D.	26. Delap F. 44. Forde A. 13. Isted H. (G) 7. Kalinauskas T. 47. Stretton J. 23. Tavares F. 19. Williams D.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Bowyer G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Webster C. 🟥,
33', Rathbone O. 🟨,
34', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', McClean J. ↓, Barnett R. ↑,
46', Dobson G. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
49', Dodgson O. 🟨,
62', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Fletcher S. (Pen),
74', 2 - 0, Smith S. ⚽, Longman R. (A),
77', Smith S. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
78', Burrell R. ↓, Tavares F. ↑,
79', Larsson J. ↓, Forde A. ↑,
85', Armer J. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Marriott J. ⚽, Barnett R. (A),
90', Crocombe M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Wrexham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Burton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Tavares F. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
01.04.25	Cambridge United - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
29.03.25	Exeter City - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Wrexham - Stockport County	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Reading - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWWL
- Burton Albion
English League One
01.04.25	Burton Albion - Leyton Orient	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Stockport County - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Burton Albion - Bolton Wanderers	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Burton Albion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.12.24	Burton Albion - Wrexham	0:1
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Wrexham - Burton Albion	2:3

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