Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday

Location: County Ground (Swindon)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Swindon Town		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.83
	3.6	4	1.83
	4	4	1.78
	4.07	4.16	1.83
	4.07	4.16	1.82
	3.75	4	1.75
	3.92	4.1	1.78	Watch
	3.6	3.9	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.31)	4.04 ↑ (3.77)	1.81 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
24.4%

Draw
23.4%

Wrexham
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.1%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wrexham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	16.7%	61.1%

Swindon Town - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Wrexham will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Ward L. (G) 31. Minturn H. 8. Khan S. 17. Kokolo W. 2. Hutton R. 23. Kinsella L. 6. McEachran G. 28. Shade T. 10. Kemp D. 7. Young J. 32. Austin C. (C)	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 14. Forde A. 32. Cleworth M. 4. Tozer B. (C) 22. O'Connor T. 19. Mendy J. 30. Jones J. 20. Cannon A. 23. McClean J. 18. Dalby S. 38. Lee E.
Substitutes
12. Brewitt T. 16. Cain J. 26. Dworzak A. 47. Evans R. (G) 14. Genesini B. 36. Hart S. 33. McGregor J.	29. Barnett R. 25. Boyle W. 7. Davies J. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 10. Mullin P. 8. Young L.
Coaches
Flynn M.	Parkinson P.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Recent matches Swindon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Wrexham have a series of home games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Swindon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League Two
23.12.23	Tranmere Rovers - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Swindon Town - Barrow	0:3 ✺
09.12.23	AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town	4:0 ✺
28.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town	3:4 ✺
25.11.23	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
23.12.23	Wrexham - Newport County	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Wrexham - Colchester United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.12.23	Wrexham - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
English FA Cup
03.12.23	Wrexham - Yeovil Town	3:0 ✺
English League Two
28.11.23	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.08.23	Wrexham - Swindon Town	5:5

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