Match Info

League Two - Round 37

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Colchester Community Stadium (JobServe) (Colchester)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Colchester United		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.8	4.5
	1.7	3.7	4.7
	1.72	3.97	4.64
	1.73	3.71	4.54	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.4
	1.71	3.74	4.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	4.55 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchester United
54.5%

Draw
25%

Crawley Town
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

21.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colchester United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Colchester United - Crawley Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colchester (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Colchester United will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. 6. Flanagan T. (C) 2. Hunt R. 8. Bishop T. 16. Read A. 14. Lisbie K. 10. Payne J. 7. Anderson H. 9. Tovide S.	35. Chapman J. (G) 5. Barker C. 4. Bajrami G. 2. Malone S. 41. Gordon K. 26. Williams J. (C) 32. Richards T. 16. Russell J. 19. Pereira D. 44. Lolos K. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.
Substitutes
27. Akachukwu R. 22. Back F. 25. Barbrook F. 21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W. 40. Terry F. 17. Williams J.	22. Adeyemo A. 38. Adeyemo T. 49. Darcy R. 20. Ferizaj J. 7. Forster H. 31. Odimayo A.
Coaches
Cowley D.	Lindsey S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Malone S. 🟨,
25', Barker C. 🟨,
44', Richards T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Russell J. 🟨,
66', Malone S. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
66', Richards T. ↓, Darcy R. ↑,
67', Russell J. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
73', Tovide S. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
73', Payne J. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
74', Anderson H. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
74', Lolos K. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
83', Bishop T. ↓, Barbrook F. ↑,
90', Forster H. 🟨,
90+3', Bajrami G. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 21).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 1.

Colchester has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Crawley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Colchester is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Colchester: Perry B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Vassell T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Colchester: Edwards O. (Inactive) Iandolo E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury) Richards L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Colchester: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Colchester	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10
24	Crawley	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Crawley Town - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 23.49%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colchester United
English League Two
07.03.26	Newport County - Colchester United	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Chesterfield - Colchester United	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Colchester United - Salford City	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Colchester United - Barnet	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Cambridge United - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWT
- Crawley Town
English League Two
07.03.26	Crawley Town - Swindon Town	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Crawley Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
17.02.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.12.25	Crawley Town - Colchester United	1:1
13.04.24	Crawley Town - Colchester United	2:3
09.12.23	Colchester United - Crawley Town	1:2
18.04.23	Crawley Town - Colchester United	0:0
25.10.22	Colchester United - Crawley Town	2:2
01.01.22	Crawley Town - Colchester United	3:1
18.09.21	Colchester United - Crawley Town	0:1

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