Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Wrexham		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7.5
	1.39	5	7
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.44	5	6.94
	1.44	5	6.94
	1.36	4.8	6.5
	1.4	4.9	6.95	Watch
	1.41	4.7	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.46)	4.83 ↑ (4.53)	6.9 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
66.8%

Draw
19.5%

Morecambe
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

20.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

19.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wrexham - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 14. Forde A. 5. Hayden A. 4. Tozer B. (C) 22. O'Connor T. 23. McClean J. 20. Cannon A. 12. Evans G. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P.	21. Smith A. (G) 12. Senior J. 5. Rawson F. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 22. Connolly J. 7. Bloxham T. 11. Mayor A. 10. McKiernan J. J. 8. King E. 14. Slew J. 9. Mellon M.
Substitutes
27. Bickerstaff J. 25. Boyle W. 18. Dalby S. 7. Davies J. 21. Howard M. (G) 30. Jones J. 19. Mendy J.	16. Davenport J. 26. Pedley G. (G) 17. Smith C. 6. Songo'o Y. 15. Stokes Ch. 28. Threlkeld O. 19. Walker E.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	McMahon J.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Wrexham is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Morecambe is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Morecambe have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
18.11.23	Accrington Stanley - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Wrexham - Gillingham	2:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Wrexham - Port Vale	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Notts County - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW
- Morecambe
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Blackpool - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Lincoln City - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
English League Two
31.10.23	Barrow - Morecambe	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWLW

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