Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 5 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Newcastle United U21

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	6.25
	1.34	4.79	6.25
	1.33	4.5	6.5
	1.31	5.5	7.7
	1.32	5.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (2.25)	4.9 ↑ (3.7)	6.74 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
68%

Draw
18.5%

Newcastle United U21
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wrexham's performance.

Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.7%	2.9%	1.4%

Wrexham - Newcastle United U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 67 - 95.7%). Newcastle U21 will win (votes: 1 - 1.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 2.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 90.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 14. Forde A. 32. Cleworth M. 12. Evans G. 6. Tunnicliffe J. 3. McFadzean C. 30. Jones J. 8. Young L. (C) 11. McAlinden L. 16. Waters B. 18. Dalby S.	84. Harris A. (G) 65. Thompson C. 42. Wiggett C. 38. Savage R. 53. Hackett J. 47. Miley J. (C) 37. Carlyon N. 58. Huntley J. 63. Parkinson B. 43. Stephenson D. 49. Diallo A.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 27. Bickerstaff J. 38. Lee E. 31. McNicholas L. (G) 22. O'Connor T. 9. Palmer O. 4. Tozer B.	35. Brown W. (G) 83. Craggs L. 57. Crossley K. 34. De Bolle L. 90. Hearnes T. 46. Scott J. 64. Stanton E.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Dawson B.

Preview

Recent matches Wrexham is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newcastle U21 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Newcastle U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wrexham is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
02.09.23	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Wrexham - Bradford City	1:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Barrow - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Wrexham - Swindon Town	5:5 ✺
15.08.23	Wrexham - Walsall	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTW
- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League 2
02.09.23	Newcastle United U21 - Manchester City U21	0:4 ✺
25.08.23	Reading U21 - Newcastle United U21	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Tottenham Hotspur U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	Newcastle United U21 - Southampton U21	5:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Barrow - Newcastle United U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

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