Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 29

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Wuxi Wugou		Chongqing Tongliang Long

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	2.85	3.1	2.36	Watch
	2.91	3.3	2.46
	2.97	3.12	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.3
	2.82	3.13	2.36
	2.85	3.1	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	2.37 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
32.3%

Draw
29%

Chongqing Tongliang Long
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

27.8%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

26.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Chongqing Tongliang Long has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chongqing Tongliang Long could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Wuxi Wugou - Chongqing Tongliang Long Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wuxi Wugou will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 5. Lin Jiahao 4. Liang Jinhu 28. Yu Wai-Lim 21. He Mingli 18. Yue Zhilei 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 11. Mandic S. 27. He Wei 6. Tang Qirun 20. Nouble J.	23. Zhang Haixuan (G) 4. Yen Yaki 22. Andrejevic A. 31. Zhao Hejing 17. Wang Shiqin 8. Li Zhenquan 14. Huang Xiyang 24. Liu Mingshi 43. Xiao Kun 7. Xiang Yuwang 10. Tabekou S.
Substitutes
39. Fu Hao 17. Hu Shengjia 14. Shohret R. 12. Song X. 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 30. Yuan Z. 22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 8. Zhang Yuanshu 40. Zhao Yubo 38. Zhu Haiwei	33. Cheng Yetong 6. Chen Y. 30. Chen Zhao (G) 19. Gong Y. 20. Hu J. 26. Li H. 5. Shi Jiwei 21. Song Pan 28. Sun Xipeng 18. Tian Xiangyu 15. Tong Zhicheng 16. Wang Weicheng
Coaches
Wang D.	Yu Yuanwei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Li Zhenquan ⚽, Yen Yaki (A),
33', Lin Jiahao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Yue Zhilei ↓, Zhang Yuanshu ↑,
49', Liu Mingshi 🟥,
56', Yen Yaki ↓, Cheng Yetong ↑,
61', Mandic S. ↓, Zhu Haiwei ↑,
62', Zhu Haiwei 🟨,
67', Tang Qirun ↓, Fu Hao ↑,
69', Huang Xiyang ↓, Song Pan ↑,
76', Yu Wai-Lim ↓, Song X. ↑,
86', Tabekou S. ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
90', Song Pan 🟨,
90+4', He Wei ↓, Hu Shengjia ↑,
90+4', Xiao Kun 🟨,
90+5', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Gong Y. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 4).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Chongqing Tongliang Long will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wuxi Wugou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
20.10.24	Wuxi Wugou - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Wuxi Wugou	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Wuxi Wugou - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Ningbo Professional - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Foshan Nanshi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLLW
- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese Jia League
19.10.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Ningbo Professional	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Young Boy	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Wuxi Wugou	3:1

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