Match Info

EFL Trophy

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Blair H. (Eng)


	Wycombe Wanderers		Bristol Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.57	4.00	4.33
	1.58	3.95	4.30	Watch
	1.56	4.61	4.88
	1.78	4.15	3.83	Watch
	1.54	4.55	4.75
	1.77	3.78	4.19	Watch
	1.58	4.30	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.86)	4.21 ↑ (3.7)	4.47 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
57.3%

Draw
22%

Bristol Rovers
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.3%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

24.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wycombe Wanderers's performance.

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Wildsmith J. (G) 22. Parker S. 17. Casey D. 26. Taylor C. 45. Hagelskjaer A. 7. Quitirna A. 19. Tezgel E. 5. Morley A. 10. Leahy L. (C) 29. Mothersille M. 12. Woodrow C.	32. Binns C. (G) 23. Southam-Hales M. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 14. Purrington B. 3. Sparkes J. 33. De Havilland R. 22. Gough K. 27. Sanyaolu P. 24. Leigh T. 28. Appiah A. 9. Quigley J.
Substitutes
68. Cross K. 2. Grimmer J. 20. Henderson E. 28. Ings D. 31. Moore S. (G) 57. Quarcoo K. 11. Thomas S.	30. Dewsbury O. 34. Dunne S. 7. Forde S. 19. Harrison E. 8. Russell-Denny R. 21. Smallwood R. 1. Young B. (G)
Coaches
Hounsell T.	Evans S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Mothersille M. ⚽, Woodrow C. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Tezgel E. ⚽, Woodrow C. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Woodrow C. ⚽,
39', Kilgour A. ↓, Smallwood R. ↑,
45+3', Leigh T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Leigh T. ↓, Harrison E. ↑,
46', Sanyaolu P. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
61', Appiah A. ↓, Russell-Denny R. ↑,
62', Woodrow C. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
68', Leahy L. 🟨,
69', Quitirna A. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
69', Morley A. ↓, Henderson E. ↑,
70', Mothersille M. ↓, Cross K. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Harrison E. ⚽, Russell-Denny R. (A),
77', Ings D. ↓, Grimmer J. ↑,
79', Sparkes J. 🟨,
80', Smallwood R. ↓, Dunne S. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Tezgel E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 5.

Wycombe has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bristol Rovers has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Wycombe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Wycombe for this game.

Our forecast points to a victory for Wycombe in today's match, at odds of 1.76.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Wycombe has recorded 11 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:21 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wycombe against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now

Wycombe: 1.89% Bristol Rovers: 1.57%

Last Results with these Odds

Wycombe Wanderers - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Bristol Rovers - the odds 3.81 are the expected chance of winning is 24.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
26.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
15.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Chelsea U21	2:1 ✺
English League One
12.09.26	Leyton Orient - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Wycombe Wanderers - Milton Keynes Dons	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWT
- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
03.10.26	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
26.09.26	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Gillingham - Bristol Rovers	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Grimsby Town - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Bristol Rovers - Rotherham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
18.02.25	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	2:0
28.09.24	Bristol Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
01.01.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	3:2
26.08.23	Bristol Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
14.03.23	Bristol Rovers - Wycombe Wanderers	0:2
26.12.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	2:1
08.02.20	Wycombe Wanderers - Bristol Rovers	3:1

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