The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cardiff City 58.9%
Draw 22.8%
Exeter City 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
23.3%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.5%
22.4%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.5%
4.5%
0%
Cardiff City - Exeter City Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Cardiff (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff City will win
(21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cardiff City will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 9 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Turner M. (G) 38. Ng P. 48. Lawlor D. 12. Chambers C. (C) 3. Bagan J. 6. Wintle R. 18. Robertson A. 8. Kellyman O. 45. Ashford C. 39. Davies I. 22. Salech Y.
1. Whitworth J. (G) 26. Sweeney P. (C) 5. Fitzwater J. 20. Woodhouse L. 14. Niskanen I. 6. Brierley E. 31. Doyle-Hayes J. 2. McMillan J. 17. Higgins A. 10. Aitchison J. 9. Wareham J.
Substitutes
27. Colwill J. 2. Fish W. 44. Kpakio R. 47. Robinson C. 11. Tanner O. 14. Turnbull D. 16. Willock C.
23. Bycroft J. (G) 12. Cole R. 8. Francis E. 29. McDonald K. 7. Mendes C. 34. Oakes L. 16. Swinkels S.
Coaches
Barry-Murphy B.
Caldwell G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Robertson A. ⚽, Lawlor D. (A),
56', Davies I. 🟨,
57', Davies I. ↓, Willock C. ↑,
65', Higgins A. ↓, Cole R. ↑,
79', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill J. ↑,
79', Kellyman O. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
80', Ng P. ↓, Kpakio R. ↑,
80', Brierley E. ↓, Oakes L. ↑,
80', Aitchison J. ↓, Mendes C. ↑,
80', Doyle-Hayes J. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
82', Oakes L. 🟨,
87', Bagan J. 🟨,
89', Chambers C. 🟨,
90+6', Ashford C. ↓, Fish W. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 20).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J.
(Personal Reasons)
Colwill R.
(Injury)
King E.
(Knee Injury)
Osho G.
(Injury)
There will not play in Exeter: Andrew D.
(Inactive)
Borges P.
(Knee Injury)
Magennis J.
(Inactive)
Rydel R.
(Inactive)
Turns E.
(Inactive)
Yfeko J.
(Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Cardiff won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.