The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wycombe Wanderers 63.7%
Draw 22%
Crewe Alexandra 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.7%
21.5%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
75.5%
17.9%
13.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wycombe Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Wycombe Wanderers - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
Wycombe has the most likely position - 2 (12.12%), has project points - 79, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (30.21%), has project points - 41, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Wycombe is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Wycombe is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Wycombe won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.