Match Info

Date: 15 March 2022, Tuesday


	Crewe Alexandra		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	7	4	1.5
	7	4.1	1.47
	7.5	4	1.5
	6.6	4	1.47
	7.54	4.17	1.5
	7	4	1.47
	7.2	4.4	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↑ (5.37)	4.1 ↑ (4.01)	1.49 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
13.3%

Draw
23.1%

Wigan Athletic
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

23.5%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

19.4%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Wigan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wigan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	10.8%	81.5%

Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: Wigan Athletic will win (53 of 65 users predict this - 81.54%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.11% – 90.97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (67.28%), has project points - 32, has currently - 25, has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Wigan has the most likely position - 2 (37.26%), has project points - 92, has currently - 73, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a good chance of promoted (74%), has a chance of win league (31%).

This event has small quality 12, importance 45, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2.

Crewe is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Wigan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crewe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Wigan have a series of home games.

In this match Wigan is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League One
12.03.22	Sunderland - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
08.03.22	Crewe Alexandra - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
05.03.22	Crewe Alexandra - Wycombe Wanderers	1:3 ✺
26.02.22	Cheltenham Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
22.02.22	Crewe Alexandra - Oxford United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWL
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
12.03.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.03.22	Wigan Athletic - Sutton United	1:2 penalties ✺
English League One
05.03.22	Wigan Athletic - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
01.03.22	Wigan Athletic - Fleetwood Town	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Sunderland	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	2:0
English EFL Trophy
05.10.21	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	2:0
English League One
17.04.21	Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	2:0
10.10.20	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	3:0
23.01.16	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	1:1
English EFL Trophy
06.10.15	Crewe Alexandra - Wigan Athletic	2:3
English League One
29.08.15	Wigan Athletic - Crewe Alexandra	1:0

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