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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 21.2%
Draw 25.3%
Sunderland 53.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
25.3%
52.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18%
20.3%
65.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunderland could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.1%
17.9%
75%
Crewe Alexandra - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Sunderland will win (votes: 21 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sunderland: 59% – 91%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs)).
Crewe has the most likely position - 24 (21.91%), has project points - 44, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sunderland has the most likely position - 1 (26.31%), has project points - 85, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (35%), has a good chance of promoted (51%), has a chance of win league (26%).
Recent matches Crewe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sunderland is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sunderland could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sunderland is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Crewe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
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