Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Wycombe Wanderers		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.75
	1.58	4.2	5.25
	1.55	4.2	5	Watch
	1.56	4.32	5.8
	1.54	4.32	5.49
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.57	4.2	5.35	Watch
	1.56	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	4.21 ↑ (4.11)	5.44 ↑ (5.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
60.5%

Draw
22.3%

Morecambe
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

22.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Wycombe Wanderers aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Wycombe Wanderers - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 5. Forino-Joseph C. 17. Low J. 6. Tafazolli R. 31. Pattenden J. 8. Breckin K. 4. Scowen J. (C) 22. Phillips K. 23. Sadlier K. 30. Taylor L. 20. Taylor D.	21. Smith A. (G) 12. Senior J. 5. Rawson F. (C) 4. Bedeau J. 3. Tutonda D. 7. Bloxham T. 8. King E. 10. McKiernan J. J. 6. Songo'o Y. 11. Mayor A. 9. Mellon M.
Substitutes
32. Clark T. 29. De Barr T. 2. Grimmer J. 3. Jacobson J. 16. Keogh R. 12. McCleary G. 1. Stryjek M. (G)	22. Connolly J. 16. Davenport J. 23. Melbourne M. 26. Pedley G. (G) 14. Slew J. 17. Smith C. 15. Stokes Ch. 18. Taylor J. 19. Walker E.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	McMahon J.

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 1.

Recent matches Wycombe is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morecambe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Morecambe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Morecambe have a series of guest games.

In this match Wycombe is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Wycombe won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
28.11.23	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Reading	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
18.11.23	Wycombe Wanderers - AFC Wimbledon	1:0 ✺
English League One
11.11.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Bradford City - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Morecambe
English League Two
28.11.23	Morecambe - Newport County	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Wrexham - Morecambe	6:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.11.23	Blackpool - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
English League Two
11.11.23	Grimsby Town - Morecambe	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Lincoln City - Morecambe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
15.04.23	Morecambe - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0
29.10.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Morecambe	1:1
22.01.22	Morecambe - Wycombe Wanderers	3:2
02.10.21	Wycombe Wanderers - Morecambe	4:3
English League Two
24.02.18	Wycombe Wanderers - Morecambe	2:4
11.11.17	Morecambe - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1
29.04.17	Morecambe - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1

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