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Current Win Probability
Crewe Alexandra 14%
Draw 22%
Cambridge United 64%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
19.4%
24.4%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.7%
23.6%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra's form might have worsened.
Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Crewe Alexandra - Cambridge United Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Cambridge (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cambridge United will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 30. Dancey S. 2. Billington L. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 23. Powell J. 8. Thomas C. 26. O'Reilly T. 24. March J. 17. Holicek M. 36. Tezgel E.
1. Eastwood J. (G) 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 26. Gibbons J. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 15. Mayor A. 14. Knight B. 11. Kaikai S. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
1. Booth T. (G) 22. Croker P. 14. Finney C. 32. Moore L. 25. Pond A. 29. Thibaut A. 10. Tracey S.
7. Brophy J. 25. Hughes B. (G) 10. Kachunga E. 5. Morrison M. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B. 8. Smith K.
Coaches
Bell L.
Harris N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Knight B. (Penalty Awarded),
32', Kaikai S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
53', Gibbons J. 🟨,
53', Dancey S. 🟨,
62', Thomas C. ↓, Moore L. ↑,
74', Kaikai S. ↓, Brophy J. ↑,
79', Dancey S. ↓, Pond A. ↑,
82', O'Reilly T. ↓, Tracey S. ↑,
82', Hutchinson R. ↓, Finney C. ↑,
83', Tezgel E. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
84', Mpanzu P. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 0.
Crewe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cambridge has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Cambridge is the team to beat.
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Back Injury)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z.
(Injury)
Kouassi K.
(Inactive)
Raggett S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Crewe: Lankester J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Lavery S.
(Inactive)
McLoughlin S.
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
United-kingdom
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Lawlor I. (G) 
Dancey S. 
Holicek M. 
Mpanzu P. 
Kaikai S. 
Appere L. 
Hughes B. (G) 
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