Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39

Date: 1 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Portsmouth		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.8	6
	1.55	3.9	5.75
	1.5	4.25	6.75
	1.59	3.97	6.37
	1.55	3.8	6
	1.56	4	6	Watch
	1.55	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	3.96 ↑ (3.72)	6.1 ↑ (5.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
60.6%

Draw
23.9%

Forest Green Rovers
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.1%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.4%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Portsmouth - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Forest Green will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portsmouth: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Portsmouth has the most likely position - 9 (40.99%), project points - 72, currently - 58, not chance of relegated, a small chance of prom. playoffs (8%), a very small chance of promoted (2%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (84.11%), project points - 32, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 13, very small importance 5, very small match rating 9. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Portsmouth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Forest Green is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Portsmouth is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League One
25.03.23	Portsmouth - Port Vale	2:2 ✺
18.03.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	0:2 ✺
14.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
11.03.23	Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday	0:1 ✺
07.03.23	Barnsley - Portsmouth	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWLL
- Forest Green Rovers
English League One
26.03.23	Forest Green Rovers - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Plymouth Argyle - Forest Green Rovers	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Forest Green Rovers - Bristol Rovers	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Accrington Stanley - Forest Green Rovers	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Forest Green Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
22.10.22	Forest Green Rovers - Portsmouth	0:1

Upcoming Matches