Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Select Car Leasing Stadium (Reading)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Reading		Brentford

	1	X	2
	13.00	6.50	1.15	Watch
	10.50	7.50	1.22
	10.00	6.50	1.22	Watch
	12.93	6.93	1.22
	10.35	6.47	1.25	Watch
	12.00	6.45	1.20
	13.00	6.84	1.21	Watch
	12.00	7.40	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.72 ↑ (7.59)	6.82 ↑ (5.43)	1.21 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
8%

Draw
13.8%

Brentford
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

17.4%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

16.6%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Reading - Brentford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brentford will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pereira J. (C) 39. Ahmed A. 15. O'Connor P. 23. Masterson C. 5. Roberts H. 6. Fraser L. 8. Savage C. 14. Williams R. 28. Stokes J. 11. Kyerewaa D. 9. Reid J.	31. Balcombe E. (G) 33. Kayode M. 20. Ajer K. (C) 3. Henry R. 25. Diouf M. 18. Sangare M. 23. Lewis-Potter K. 11. Ouattara Da. 24. Damsgaard M. 14. Carvalho F. 13. Wilson C.
Substitutes
42. Beacroft B. 18. Brown J. 3. Dorsett A. J. R. 17. Earthy G. 2. Godwin-Malife U. 32. Lane P. 19. Lisbie K. 25. Stevens J. (G) 10. Wing L.	19. Anthony J. 48. Fredrick B. 2. Hickey A. 27. Janelt V. 1. Kelleher C. (G) 7. Schade K. 44. Schuster J. 9. Thiago I. 6. Yarmolyuk Y.
Coaches
Richardson L.	Andrews K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Wilson C. ⚽, Ouattara Da. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Carvalho F. ⚽, Ouattara Da. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sangare M. ↓, Yarmolyuk Y. ↑,
61', Diouf M. ↓, Schuster J. ↑,
63', Roberts H. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
63', Reid J. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, O'Connor P. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
77', Carvalho F. ↓, Hickey A. ↑,
77', Ouattara Da. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
77', Wilson C. ↓, Thiago I. ↑,
79', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Lisbie K. ↑,
79', O'Connor P. ↓, Dorsett A. J. R. ↑,
88', Stokes J. ↓, Earthy G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Brentford is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Reading: Patton S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Brentford: Collins N. (Injury) Dasilva J. (Injury) Furo K. (Surgery) Jensen M. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg S. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Reading won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).

Outrights of English League Cup for now

Brentford: 3.5%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League One
12.09.26	Cambridge United - Reading	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Reading - Blackpool	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Reading - Mansfield Town	5:0 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Stevenage Borough - Reading	0:3 ✺
English League One
22.08.26	AFC Wimbledon - Reading	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWT
- Brentford FC
English Premier League
12.09.26	Bournemouth - Brentford	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Brentford - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leeds United - Brentford	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
25.08.26	Birmingham City - Brentford	1:6 ✺
English Premier League
22.08.26	Brentford - Tottenham Hotspur	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
10.02.21	Reading - Brentford	1:3
19.12.20	Brentford - Reading	3:1
30.06.20	Reading - Brentford	0:3
23.11.19	Brentford - Reading	1:0
13.04.19	Reading - Brentford	2:1
29.09.18	Brentford - Reading	2:2
20.01.18	Reading - Brentford	0:1

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