Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Águilas

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.52	3.4
	2.43	2.36	3.96
	2.5	2.45	3.1
	2.46	2.67	3.46
	2.45	2.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.33)	2.48 ↓ (2.69)	3.53 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
37.4%

Draw
36.8%

Águilas
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

33.6%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

34.9%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Xerez CD - Águilas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Xerez (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 1 - 1, Hidalgo A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent performances by Xerez have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Águilas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Xerez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Xerez might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Xerez CD	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Xerez CD - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.78%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Almeria B - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	CD Extremadura - Xerez CD	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Xerez CD - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Xerez CD	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
11.01.26	Águilas - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	UCAM Murcia - Águilas	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Águilas - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Águilas - La Unión	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	0:0
22.03.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	1:0
10.11.24	Xerez CD - Águilas	1:0

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