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Current Win Probability
Yanbian Longding 24.3%
Draw 28.9%
Nantong Zhiyun 46.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
30.4%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
29.6%
37.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanbian Longding's form might have worsened.
Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nantong Zhiyun's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanbian Longding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantong Zhiyun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yanbian Longding - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 33. Hu Ziqian 15. Xu Jizu 4. Nunez V. 19. Duan Dezhi 17. Piao Shihao (C) 36. Li R. 37. Giovanny 5. Domingos J. 20. Jin Taiyan 30. Huang Zhenfei
1. Nie Xuran (G) 21. Lucas Kal 6. Hu Mingfei (C) 4. Luo Xin 36. Dai Yuanji 26. Deng Yubiao 28. An Yifei 27. Wu Xingyu 10. Kalulu A. 14. Gonzalez E. 37. Jia Boyan
Substitutes
11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 8. He Zhenyu 32. Huang Z. 40. Jin Xingdao 7. Li Shibin 6. Li Ximin 28. Pan Xuanyu 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 23. Wang Zihao 16. Xu Wenguang
40. Beshathan Zanhar 23. Dujardin R. 20. Jiang Jiapeng 17. Ling Jie 15. Liu Wei 8. Liu Weicheng 39. Liu Ye 16. Lu Jin (G) 11. Ruan Yang 5. Shen Chao 2. Xu Hui 7. Ye Daochi
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung
Kim Dae-Eui
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Hu Mingfei ⚽, Deng Yubiao (A),
17', An Yifei 🟨,
41', Domingos J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Piao Shihao ↓, Li Ximin ↑,
46', Jia Boyan ↓, Ye Daochi ↑,
46', Li R. ↓, Huang Z. ↑,
58', Hu Ziqian ↓, Che Zeping ↑,
75', Jin Taiyan ↓, Jin Xingdao ↑,
76', Huang Zhenfei 🟨,
78', Nunez V. 🟨,
80', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Chen Keqiang ↑,
88', Deng Yubiao ↓, Liu Weicheng ↑,
89', An Yifei ↓, Dujardin R. ↑,
90+4', Kalulu A. ↓, Beshathan Zanhar ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Super League).
Yanbian Longding has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Nantong Zhiyun is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Recently, Yanbian Longding has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Nantong Zhiyun has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Nantong Zhiyun holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Yanbian Longding has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 0.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yanbian Longding against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
China
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Kou Jiahao (G) 
Nunez V. 
Giovanny 
Domingos J. 
Kalulu A. 
Gonzalez E. 
Lee Ki-Hyung 
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