Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Metallurg (Zhezqazghan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ulytau		Kaisar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.90
	1.96	3.10	3.25	Watch
	2.43	3.15	3.19
	2.09	3.22	3.34	Watch
	2.40	2.70	3.15
	2.14	3.44	3.23	Watch
	2.25	3.10	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.44)	3.12 ↑ (2.83)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulytau
41.5%

Draw
29.4%

Kaisar
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

32.5%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

33.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulytau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Ulytau - Kaisar Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kaisar will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 28. Bugulov G. 25. Bukhal G. 3. Keiler S. (C) 8. Vachiberadze B. 18. Bougnone A. 14. Harada H. 90. Martin D. 11. Smith A. 7. Kishi K.	1. Salaydin N. (C) 15. Idrisov N. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 6. Kaldybekov E. 42. Miqueias 24. Cuckic N. 2. Redzhepov T. 47. Konlimkos B. 70. Ezekiel I. 9. Agzambaev N.
Substitutes
12. Afanasenko V. 4. Chalkin M. 22. Chernyak I. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 9. Serikkul R. 77. Shauymbay M. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 45. Zulfikarov B.	10. Agostinho 93. Askarov S. 16. Azhikhan A. (G) 14. Gustavo Zago 40. Kovac A. (G) 96. Mukhammed A. 3. Tolegenov A. 13. Zhaksylyk N. 23. Zhumat M.
Coaches
Mazbaev N.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Carmona Sierra D. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Harada H. ⚽, Kishi K. (A),
42', Bukorac S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Redzhepov T. ↓, Askarov S. ↑,
46', Bugulov G. ↓, Chalkin M. ↑,
46', Agzambaev N. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
46', Miqueias ↓, Agostinho ↑,
58', Konlimkos B. ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,
61', Smith A. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
61', Kishi K. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
72', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Zhumat M. ↑,
74', Vachiberadze B. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
86', Harada H. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ulytau won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.26	Ordabasy - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ulytau - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Kaisar - Ulytau	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Ulytau - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWT
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
05.07.26	Kaisar - Ertis Pavlodar	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Kaisar - Ulytau	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
20.06.26	Kaisar - Ulytau	0:0
18.10.25	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:1
22.06.25	Kaisar - Ulytau	1:1

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