Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Kaysar Arena (Kyzylorda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Kaisar		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.30	3.40
	2.02	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.07	3.45	3.64
	1.94	3.57	3.43	Watch
	2.01	3	3.65
	2.04	3.45	3.45	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.96)	3.32 ↑ (3.18)	3.51 ↓ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaisar
46.1%

Draw
27.7%

Kaspiy Aktau
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.8%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaisar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Kaisar will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salaydin N. (C) 47. Konlimkos B. 15. Idrisov N. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 12. Sovet S. 6. Kaldybekov E. 70. Ezekiel I. 24. Cuckic N. 96. Mukhammed A. 10. Agostinho	24. Zhomart D. (G) 21. Aripov D. 14. Amaral A. 30. Morgado B. 29. Bekmyrza A. 26. Sedko P. 15. Epton D. 23. Nabikhanov A. (C) 11. Ndombasi N. 17. Klimovich V. 9. Abylaykhan R.
Substitutes
9. Agzambaev N. 93. Askarov S. 16. Azhikhan A. (G) 14. Gustavo Zago 5. Kenesbek A. 40. Kovac A. (G) 42. Miqueias 11. Moses V. 2. Redzhepov T. 18. Rustemuly D. 3. Tolegenov A. 13. Zhaksylyk N.	1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 55. Elemes N. 7. Kabylan B. 67. Kalmyrza M. 27. Nechayev D. 13. Serikbay M. 93. Sylla K. 10. Umaev I. 47. Usenov D.
Coaches
Ferapontov A.	Shoytymov E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Bekmyrza A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Mukhammed A. ⚽, Idrisov N. (A),
45+4', Amaral A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mukhammed A. ↓, Agzambaev N. ↑,
46', Idrisov N. 🟨,
54', Cuckic N. 🟨,
56', Morgado B. 🟨,
56', Konlimkos B. ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,
57', Idrisov N. ↓, Askarov S. ↑,
61', Bekmyrza A. ↓, Kalmyrza M. ↑,
62', Sovet S. ↓, Tolegenov A. ↑,
66', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Miqueias ↑,
73', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
73', Nabikhanov A. ↓, Usenov D. ↑,
79', Aripov D. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
79', Ndombasi N. ↓, Kabylan B. ↑,
88', Morgado B. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Sylla K. ⚽, Klimovich V. (A),
90+2', Kabylan B. 🟨,
90+3', Usenov D. 🟨,
90+6', Ezekiel I. 🟨,
90+8', Agostinho 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kaisar might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kaisar won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaisar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Kaisar - Ertis Pavlodar	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Kaisar - Ulytau	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWTW
- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
11.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ordabasy	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2
23.09.23	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	3:1
01.04.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:3
Kazakh Cup
29.07.22	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2
23.07.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	1:2
Kazakh Premier League
19.06.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Kaisar	2:4
09.04.21	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	2:1

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