The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ertis Pavlodar 42.9%
Draw 29.3%
Kaisar 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.8%
27%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
27.9%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Ertis Pavlodar - Kaisar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rikhard M. (G) 45. Iyede S. 56. Yudenkov R. 33. Ibrahim F. 27. Nechaev D. 66. Malikaydar S. 8. Zharynbetov S. (C) 6. Shimamura Y. 12. Karimov R. 24. Khalmatov M. 97. Poe J.
1. Salaydin N. (C) 15. Idrisov N. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 6. Kaldybekov E. 24. Cuckic N. 42. Miqueias 12. Sovet S. 47. Konlimkos B. 96. Mukhammed A. 70. Ezekiel I.
Substitutes
10. Agimanov T. 16. Botnar V. (G) 21. Buranchiev A. 7. Mukhametzhanov T. 15. Nyrkov D. 9. Omatay M. 17. Opeh S. 19. Popov A. 31. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 35. Ramos L. 18. Shvyrev V. 5. Toleuov B.
9. Agzambaev N. 93. Askarov S. 40. Kovac A. (G) 2. Redzhepov T. 3. Tolegenov A. 17. Zhumabekov S. 23. Zhumat M.
Coaches
Zhumaskaliyev N.
Ferapontov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Poe J. ⚽, Yudenkov R. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Cuckic N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Idrisov N. 🟨,
55', Mukhammed A. 🟨,
57', Ezekiel I. 🟨,
60', Konlimkos B. ↓, Agzambaev N. ↑,
64', Zharynbetov S. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Bukorac S. ⚽, Sovet S. (A),
65', Khalmatov M. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
66', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Mukhametzhanov T. ↑,
69', Ezekiel I. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
73', Iyede S. ↓, Agimanov T. ↑,
74', Malikaydar S. ↓, Shvyrev V. ↑,
82', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Tolegenov A. ↑,
84', Shimamura Y. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ertis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ertis won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ertis won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).