Match Info

National League - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	16:00	DAZN
Argentina	12:00	DAZN
Australia	02:00	DAZN
Austria	16:00	DAZN
Belarus	18:00	DAZN
Bolivia	11:00	DAZN
Brazil	12:00	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	17:00	DAZN
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	10:00	DAZN
Croatia	16:00	DAZN
Cyprus	17:00	DAZN
Czech Republic	16:00	DAZN
Denmark	16:00	DAZN
Ecuador	10:00	DAZN
Finland	17:00	DAZN
France	16:00	DAZN France
Germany	16:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	17:00	DAZN
Hong Kong	23:00	DAZN
Hungary	16:00	DAZN
India	20:30	DAZN
Indonesia	22:00	DAZN
Italy	16:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	00:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	21:00	DAZN
Latvia	17:00	DAZN
Lithuania	17:00	DAZN
Malaysia	23:00	DAZN
Mexico	09:00	DAZN
New Zealand	04:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	16:00	DAZN
North Macedonia	16:00	DAZN
Norway	16:00	DAZN
Paraguay	12:00	DAZN
Philippines	23:00	DAZN
Poland	16:00	DAZN
Portugal	15:00	DAZN / App
Romania	17:00	DAZN
Russia	18:00	DAZN
Serbia	16:00	DAZN
Slovenia	16:00	DAZN
South Africa	17:00	DAZN
South Korea	00:00	DAZN
Spain	16:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	16:00	DAZN
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	23:00	DAZN
Thailand	22:00	DAZN
Ukraine	17:00	DAZN
United Arab Emirates	19:00	DAZN
United Kingdom	15:00	DAZN
Uruguay	12:00	DAZN
Usa	10:00	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	20:00	DAZN
Venezuela	11:00	DAZN
Vietnam	22:00	DAZN


	Carlisle United		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	5.25
	1.55	4.05	5.15
	1.59	4.1	5.28
	1.6	4.05	5.1	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5
	1.54	3.82	5.31
	1.55	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	4 ↑ (3.93)	5.2 ↓ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
59%

Draw
23.2%

Yeovil Town
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.5%

23.5%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.9%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Carlisle United - Yeovil Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlisle United will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 20. Gilliead A. 26. Mugabi B. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 37. Macadam H. 18. Ellis J. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 14. Embleton E. 29. Armstrong L.	1. Ward J. (G) 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 27. Skura D. 26. Ferguson K. 10. Jones R. 14. McGavin B. 8. McCormick L. (C) 28. Mafico D. 29. Campbell T. 11. Daly J. 19. Sims J.
Substitutes
38. Conn-Clarke C. 3. Harper C. 10. Linney R. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 4. Thomas T. 23. Wyke Ch.	22. Gould M. (G) 21. Greenslade H. 2. Mukena J. 23. Page J. 18. Perrett T. 3. Whittle A. 38. Works T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Feeney M. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
11', Macadam H. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Armstrong L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 3 - 0, Galvin R. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', Wearne S. ↓, Conn-Clarke C. ↑,
74', Macadam H. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
74', Embleton E. ↓, Linney R. ↑,
76', Jones R. ↓, Works T. ↑,
76', Daly J. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
78', Ajiboye D. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
78', Armstrong L. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
80', Mafico D. ↓, Perrett T. ↑,
86', McGavin B. ↓, Page J. ↑,
86', McCormick L. ↓, Whittle A. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Yeovil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Carlisle is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Yeovil	15	8	4	3	35:18	17	28
9	Carlisle	15	6	5	4	28:21	7	23

Outrights of English National League for now

Carlisle: 2.48% Yeovil: 2.12%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English National League
14.02.26	Forest Green Rovers - Carlisle United	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Carlisle United - Scunthorpe United	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Rochdale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Carlisle United - Altrincham	3:1 ✺
21.01.26	Carlisle United - York City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL
- Yeovil Town
English National League
17.02.26	Yeovil Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Yeovil Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Boreham Wood - Yeovil Town	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Altrincham - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
31.01.26	AFC Telford United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
25.10.25	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	1:1
English League Two
04.05.19	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	0:0
27.10.18	Carlisle United - Yeovil Town	0:1
24.02.18	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	0:1
11.11.17	Carlisle United - Yeovil Town	4:0
01.04.17	Yeovil Town - Carlisle United	0:2
17.12.16	Carlisle United - Yeovil Town	2:1

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