The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 59%
Draw 23.2%
Yeovil Town 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.5%
23.5%
15%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
23.1%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Yeovil Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Carlisle United - Yeovil Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Carlisle United will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Breeze G. (G) 20. Gilliead A. 26. Mugabi B. 5. Feeney M. (C) 12. Galvin R. 37. Macadam H. 18. Ellis J. 7. Ajiboye D. 16. Wearne S. 14. Embleton E. 29. Armstrong L.
1. Ward J. (G) 5. Cousin-Dawson F. 27. Skura D. 26. Ferguson K. 10. Jones R. 14. McGavin B. 8. McCormick L. (C) 28. Mafico D. 29. Campbell T. 11. Daly J. 19. Sims J.
Substitutes
38. Conn-Clarke C. 3. Harper C. 10. Linney R. 13. Mair A. (G) 30. Parker H. 4. Thomas T. 23. Wyke Ch.
22. Gould M. (G) 21. Greenslade H. 2. Mukena J. 23. Page J. 18. Perrett T. 3. Whittle A. 38. Works T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Feeney M. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
11', Macadam H. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Armstrong L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', 3 - 0, Galvin R. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', Wearne S. ↓, Conn-Clarke C. ↑,
74', Macadam H. ↓, Thomas T. ↑,
74', Embleton E. ↓, Linney R. ↑,
76', Jones R. ↓, Works T. ↑,
76', Daly J. ↓, Greenslade H. ↑,
78', Ajiboye D. ↓, Parker H. ↑,
78', Armstrong L. ↓, Wyke Ch. ↑,
80', Mafico D. ↓, Perrett T. ↑,
86', McGavin B. ↓, Page J. ↑,
86', McCormick L. ↓, Whittle A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Yeovil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Carlisle is seen as the favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Carlisle won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:12. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Carlisle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).