Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama F. Marinos		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.4
	2.21	3.55	3.47
	2.03	3.55	3.59	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	2.03	3.44	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.99)	3.43 ↓ (3.45)	3.43 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
45.3%

Draw
27.4%

JEF United Chiba
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Yokohama F. Marinos - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). JEF United will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FM (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kimura R. (G) 2. Kato R. 17. Quinones J. 13. Inoue T. 35. Sekitomi K. 34. Kimura T. 28. Yamane R. 11. Croux J. (C) 7. Tono D. 30. Yuri Araujo 9. Tanimura K.	35. Wakahara T. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 3. Kuboniwa R. 28. Kawano T. 15. Mae T. 37. Himeno M. 5. Kobayashi Y. 6. Eduardo (C) 8. Tsukui T. 20. Ishikawa D. 9. Goya H.
Substitutes
40. Amano J. 26. David D. 21. Iikura H. (G) 24. Kondo T. 23. Miyaichi R. 18. Onaiwu G. 33. Suwama K. 19. Tevis 6. Watanabe K.	32. Amagasa T. 33. Igari Y. 42. Issaka Z. 44. Shinada M. 13. Suzuki D. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 24. Toriumi K. 41. Yasui T.
Coaches
Oshima H.	Kobayashi Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Quinones J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Tono D. ⚽,
66', Himeno M. ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
66', Goya H. ↓, Matsumura T. ↑,
70', Kimura T. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
72', Watanabe K. 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Tanimura K. ⚽, Yamane R. (A),
75', Yuri Araujo ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
75', Sekitomi K. ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
80', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
80', Eduardo ↓, Yasui T. ↑,
89', Tono D. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
89', Croux J. ↓, Tevis ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

JEF United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Yokohama FM is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in JEF United: Tanaka K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Park Il-gyu (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02% Chiba: 0.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6
20	Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
07.03.26	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo Verdy	3:2 ✺
21.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J1 League
06.03.26	JEF United Chiba - Kashiwa Reysol	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Machida Zelvia - JEF United Chiba	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Mito HollyHock - JEF United Chiba	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 penalties ✺
06.02.26	JEF United Chiba - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLL

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