Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	Fuji TV Two


	Yokohama FC		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.1	Watch
	2.87	3.3	2.1
	3.05	3.4	2.18	Watch
	2.97	3.45	2.37
	3.13	3.61	2.14	Watch
	2.9	3	2.3
	3.28	3.74	2.11	Watch
	3.05	3.4	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.96)	3.44 ↑ (3.23)	2.19 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama FC
30.5%

Draw
27%

Cerezo Osaka
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

29.4%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FC (votes: 1 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Cerezo Osaka (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Yokohama FC (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Yokohama FC (votes: 2 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Phelipe Megiolaro (G) 30. Yamazaki K. 2. Nduka B. 5. Fukumori A. 3. Suzuki J. 4. Lara Y. 28. Kumakura K. 48. Shimbo K. 49. Komazawa N. 13. Ogawa K. 18. Mori K.	1. Fukui K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 33. Nishio R. 44. Hatanaka S. 6. Noborizato K. 35. Yoshino K. 13. Nakajima M. 77. Fernandes L. 55. Vitor Bueno 11. Thiago Andrade 9. Rafael Ratao
Substitutes
17. Arai M. 39. Endo T. 32. Ishii R. (G) 6. Komai Y. 27. Leo Bahia 9. Sakuragawa S. 7. Suzuki M. 76. Yamada K. 8. Yamane T.	14. Funaki K. 29. Furuyama K. 8. Kagawa S. 39. Kanemoto U. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 2. Nakamura T. 48. Shibayama M. 3. Shindo R.
Coaches
Yomoda S.	Papastamatis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', Fukui K. 🟥,
45+1', Vitor Bueno ↓, Kim Jin-Hyeon ↑,
45+2', 1 - 0, Mori K. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Thiago Andrade ↓, Shindo R. ↑,
46', Komazawa N. ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
46', Ogawa K. ↓, Komai Y. ↑,
51', Suzuki J. 🟨,
70', Mori K. ↓, Sakuragawa S. ↑,
70', Kumakura K. ↓, Yamada K. ↑,
71', Okuda H. ↓, Kida H. ↑,
71', Rafael Ratao ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,
77', Yamazaki K. ↓, Endo T. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Lara Y. ⚽, Fukumori A. (A),
87', Yoshino K. ↓, Funaki K. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Suzuki M. ⚽, Fukumori A. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Noborizato K. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
104', 4 - 0, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Fukumori A. (A),
116', Shimbo K. ↓, Yamane T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-4. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 1.

In recent matches, Yokohama FC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cerezo Osaka is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:22. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FC won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama FC - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.72%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama FC
Japan J League Cup
04.06.25	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.06.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Yokohama FC - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia	2:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
17.05.25	Shonan Bellmare - Yokohama FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWW
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J League Cup
04.06.25	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	4:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
01.06.25	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:2 ✺
28.05.25	Urawa Red Diamonds - Cerezo Osaka	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Cerezo Osaka - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
04.06.25	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	4:1
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	2:0
20.08.23	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	0:1
28.05.23	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	2:0
21.08.21	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	3:1
13.03.21	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	1:4
29.11.20	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	1:0

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