Match Info

J1 League - Round 38

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Cerezo Osaka		Yokohama FC

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.62	3.9	4.65	Watch
	1.69	4.16	5
	1.64	4.13	4.95	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.75
	1.67	4.11	4.76	Watch
	1.64	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.86)	4.04 ↑ (3.66)	4.8 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerezo Osaka
57.1%

Draw
23.3%

Yokohama FC
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

25.8%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cerezo Osaka's performance.

Yokohama FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	29.4%	5.9%

Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cerezo Osaka will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fukui K. (G) 27. Cools D. 3. Shindo R. 44. Hatanaka S. 16. Okuda H. 10. Tanaka S. 5. Kida H. 13. Nakajima M. 48. Shibayama M. 9. Rafael Ratao 11. Thiago Andrade	24. Slowik J. (G) 30. Yamazaki K. 2. Nduka B. 16. Ito M. 20. Murata T. 34. Ogura H. 28. Kumakura K. 48. Shimbo K. 10. Joao Paulo 23. Kubota R. 91. Lukian
Substitutes
29. Furuyama K. 19. Homma S. 31. Inoue R. 8. Kagawa S. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 2. Nakamura T. 6. Noborizato K. 55. Vitor Bueno 35. Yoshino K.	90. Adailton 39. Endo T. 5. Fukumori A. 32. Ishii R. (G) 15. Ito S. 33. Muroi K. 14. Nakano Y. 3. Suzuki J. 7. Suzuki M.
Coaches
Papastamatis A.	Miura F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Joao Paulo ⚽,
30', 0 - 2, Ogura H. ⚽,
42', 1 - 2, Cools D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Murata T. ↓, Suzuki J. ↑,
46', Kida H. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
46', Okuda H. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
56', Noborizato K. 🟨,
60', Shibayama M. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
61', Joao Paulo ↓, Endo T. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Kubota R. ⚽, Endo T. (A),
66', Kubota R. ↓, Muroi K. ↑,
72', Nakajima M. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
73', Kumakura K. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
85', Shindo R. ↓, Furuyama K. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 3.

Yokohama FC is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cerezo Osaka is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Knee Injury) Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Takahashi N. (Red Card) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia (Knee Injury) Miyata I. (Inactive) Yamada K. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
30.11.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWWL
- Yokohama FC
Japan J1 League
30.11.25	Yokohama FC - Kyoto Sanga	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Kashima Antlers - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama FC	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
12.10.25	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Yokohama FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
08.06.25	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	4:0 ET
04.06.25	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	4:1
Japan J1 League
15.03.25	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	2:0
20.08.23	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	0:1
28.05.23	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	2:0
21.08.21	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama FC	3:1
13.03.21	Yokohama FC - Cerezo Osaka	1:4

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