Match Info

J1 League - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kyoto Sanga		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.05
	2.33	3.55	3.2
	2.18	3.49	3.26	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.24	3.32	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.05)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	3.12 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kyoto Sanga
42.2%

Draw
27.7%

Cerezo Osaka
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

27.1%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 40. Ishida Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 22. Sugai H. 25. Yoon S. 6. Joao Pedro 39. Hirato T. 11. Marco Tulio 9. Rafael Elias 18. Matsuda T.	23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 4. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 66. Ohata A. 18. Ishiwatari N. 10. Tanaka S. 14. Yokoyama Y. 13. Nakajima M. 11. Thiago Andrade 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
77. Arai H. 88. Gustavo Barreto 34. Henrique Trevisan 16. Hiraoka T. 99. Honda F. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 48. Nakano R. 7. Okugawa M. 44. Sato K.	1. Fukui K. (G) 19. Homma S. 39. Kanemoto W. 5. Kida H. 6. Noborizato K. 16. Okuda H. 17. Sakata R. 48. Shibayama M. 3. Tanaka H.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae	Papas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Rafael Elias ↓, Honda F. ↑,
28', Ohata A. 🟨,
35', Ishiwatari N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Marco Tulio ⚽,
62', Ishiwatari N. ↓, Shibayama M. ↑,
70', Yokoyama Y. ↓, Sakata R. ↑,
70', Thiago Andrade ↓, Homma S. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Sakata R. ⚽,
74', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
74', Ishida Y. ↓, Henrique Trevisan ↑,
74', Honda F. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
75', Matsuda T. 🟨,
77', Hatanaka S. ↓, Tanaka H. ↑,
77', Ohata A. ↓, Noborizato K. ↑,
79', Hirato T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
90+1', Homma S. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 2, Tanaka S. ⚽, Nakajima M. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.

Kyoto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cerezo Osaka has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kyoto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Injury)

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Knee Injury) Kim Jin-Hyeon (Ankle Injury) Takahashi T. (Back Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Cerezo Osaka: 1.92% Kyoto: 1.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cerezo Osaka	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
07.03.26	Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 penalties ✺
06.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWWWT
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
07.03.26	Cerezo Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 penalties ✺
28.02.26	V-Varen Nagasaki - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
28.09.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	1:2
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:4
Japan J1 League
03.05.25	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	2:3
17.08.24	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	3:5
01.06.24	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	1:1
25.11.23	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
14.05.23	Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka	0:1

Upcoming Matches