Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gamba Osaka		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.45	Watch
	3.1	3	2.37
	2.92	3.02	2.46	Watch
	3.05	3.08	2.52	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.38
	3.04	3.12	2.51	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.11)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gamba Osaka
30.9%

Draw
30.9%

Machida Zelvia
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

30.4%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

30.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Ichimori J. (G) 3. Handa R. 20. Nakatani S. 2. Fukuoka S. 4. Kurokawa K. 27. Mito R. 6. Lavi N. 16. Suzuki T. 7. Usami T. 23. Hummet D. 11. Jebali I.	1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. 26. Hayashi K. 16. Mae H. 18. Shimoda H. 19. Nakayama Y. 20. Nishimura T. 7. Soma Y. 90. Oh Se-Hun
Substitutes
1. Higashiguchi M. (G) 47. Juan Alano 15. Kishimoto T. 10. Kurata S. 42. Minamino H. 51. Mitsuta M. 5. Miura G. 67. Sasaki S. 40. Toyama S.	15. Duke M. 9. Fujio S. 4. Kikuchi R. 49. Kuwayama K. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 8. Sento K. 23. Shirasaki R. 99. Takahashi D.
Coaches
Poyatos D.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Soma Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Suzuki T. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
69', Soma Y. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
73', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
73', Mae H. ↓, Shirasaki R. ↑,
79', Hayashi K. 🟨,
80', Usami T. ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
89', Shimoda H. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
89', Nishimura T. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
89', Mito R. ↓, Kurata S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Gamba Osaka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Miura G. (Knee Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League
29.03.25	Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka	3:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Kochi United - Gamba Osaka	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
16.03.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Gamba Osaka - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Tokyo Verdy - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
29.03.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
30.06.24	Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia	1:3
24.02.24	Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka	1:1

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